Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Apartment Investment and Management Company
AIV (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -10.41 USD
Book value of equity invested 0.807 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -1.83 USD
Terminal stage EPS -0.445 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 4.71 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.485 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -9.38 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -15.32 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 10.31%
Terminal year's excess return -0.93 USD
Average historical Return on Equity -9.45%
Average historical Payout Ratio 1,148%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 144.8%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 2.43 0.888 0.888 1.6 2.58 3.66 4.51
Ending Book Value 0.888 0.807 1.6 2.58 3.66 4.51 4.71
EPS -0.74 -0.762 -0.084 -0.151 -0.244 -0.346 -0.427
Return on Equity -29.31% -87.61% -9.45% -9.45% -9.45% -9.45% -9.45%
Dividend per Share
0.6 -0.795 -1.13 -1.33 -1.2 -0.618
Payout Ratio 947.4% -78.75% 947.4% 746.7% 546.1% 345.5% 144.8%
Retained Earnings
-1.36 0.711 0.978 1.09 0.85 0.191
Equity Cost 0.251 0.092 0.092 0.165 0.266 0.378 0.465
Cost of Equity 10.31% 10.31% 10.31% 10.31% 10.31% 10.31% 10.31%
Excess Return -0.991 -0.853 -0.175 -0.316 -0.509 -0.724 -0.892
Discounted Excess Return
-0.159 -0.26 -0.379 -0.489 -0.546

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 34.58 -107.7 -102.5 -166.2 75.73 -4.98 -5.77 60.31 3.24 316.2 64.28 247.8
Total Stockholders Equity 2,070 110.5 123 349.7 547.9 500.6 499.8 513.3 6,190 6,079 6,233 1,622
Return on Equity -9.46% -87.61% -29.31% -30.34% 15.13% -0.996% -1.12% 0.974% 0.053% 5.07% 3.96% 20.18%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 22.77 82.14
2.99 0
24.96 30.22 0 0 19.08
Payout Ratio 1,503% -78.75% 947.4% 947.4% 4% 0% 947.4% 8,320% 931.2% 0% 0% 7.7%
Shares Outstanding 114.3 136.9 138.5 143.6 149.4 149.5 148.6 120 148.9 0 0 121.5
Earnings per Share 41221816 -0.762 -0.74 -1.16 0.5 -0.033 -0.039 0.002 0.022 126174194 327265784 2.04
Dividend per Share 0.222 0.6
0.02 0
0.208 0.203 0.192 0.176 0.157
Dividend Growth Rate -6.63%
2.46% 5.73% 9.09% 12.1% -62.53%
Book Value 3105521172 0.807 0.888 2.43 3.67 3.35 3.36 4.28 41.58 2425406958 31735325865 13.35
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Discounting Cash Flows

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