The Allstate Corporation (ALL-PB) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
The Allstate Corporation
ALL-PB (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 224 USD
Book value of equity invested 83.45 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 18.59 USD
Terminal stage EPS 13.97 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 114.3 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 8.46 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 121.9 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 174.2 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 7.4%
Terminal year's excess return 5.51 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 12.22%
Average historical Payout Ratio 6.53%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 65.3%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 67.7 81.13 81.13 89.23 96.86 103.7 109.6
Ending Book Value 81.13 83.45 89.23 96.86 103.7 109.6 114.3
EPS 17.22 14.83 9.91 10.9 11.84 12.68 13.4
Return on Equity 26.26% 18.86% 12.22% 12.22% 12.22% 12.22% 12.22%
Dividend per Share
0.969 1.81 3.28 4.95 6.79 8.75
Payout Ratio 18.29% 6.53% 18.29% 30.04% 41.8% 53.55% 65.3%
Retained Earnings
13.86 8.1 7.63 6.89 5.89 4.65
Equity Cost 5.01 6.0 6.0 6.6 7.17 7.68 8.11
Cost of Equity 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4%
Excess Return 12.21 8.83 3.91 4.3 4.67 5.0 5.28
Discounted Excess Return
3.64 3.73 3.77 3.76 3.7

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 2,639 4,044 4,667 -188 -1,289 1,614 5,576 4,847 2,160 3,554 1,877 2,171
Total Stockholders Equity 22,237 22,055 21,442 17,770 17,488 25,179 30,217 25,998 21,312 22,551 20,573 20,025
Return on Equity 12.22% 18.86% 26.26% -1.07% -5.12% 5.34% 21.45% 22.74% 9.58% 17.28% 9.37% 9.73%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 256.1 256.1
Payout Ratio 17.22% 6.53% 18.29% 18.29% 18.29% 18.29% 18.29% 18.29% 18.29% 18.29% 18.29% 18.29%
Shares Outstanding 316.4 264.3 264.3 262.5 271.2 294.8 311.6 328.2 347.8 362 372.8 401.1
Earnings per Share 9.15 14.83 17.22 -1.2 -5.03 17.5 17.53 14.25 6.21 9.5 4.72 5.12
Dividend per Share 0.969 0.969
Dividend Growth Rate
Book Value 71.55 83.45 81.13 67.7 64.48 85.41 96.97 79.21 61.28 62.3 55.19 49.93
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Discounting Cash Flows

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