Amcor plc (AMCR) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
AMCR
Amcor plc
AMCR (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 35.59 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 16.15 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 7.42 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 23.57 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 1.06 Bil. USD
Total Debt 16.9 Bil. USD
Equity Value 7.73 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 463.1 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 16.7 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.22%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 8.52%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -3.34%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-06-30 2027-06-30 2028-06-30 2029-06-30 2030-06-30 2031-06-30 2032-06-30 2033-06-30 2034-06-30 2035-06-30

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Jun 30
2027
Jun 30
2028
Jun 30
2029
Jun 30
2030
Jun 30
2031
Jun 30
2032
Jun 30
2033
Jun 30
2034
Jun 30
2035
Jun 30
Revenue 16,118 17,252 18,405 19,570 20,740 21,907 23,063 24,198 25,305 26,373
Revenue Growth Rate 7.39% 7.03% 6.68% 6.33% 5.98% 5.63% 5.28% 4.92% 4.57% 4.22%
Operating Cash Flow 1,373 1,470 1,568 1,667 1,767 1,866 1,965 2,062 2,156 2,247
Operating Cash Flow Margin 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52%
Capital Expenditure -538.5 -576.4 -614.9 -653.8 -692.9 -731.9 -770.5 -808.5 -845.4 -881.1
Capital Expenditure Margin -3.34% -3.34% -3.34% -3.34% -3.34% -3.34% -3.34% -3.34% -3.34% -3.34%
Free Cash Flow 834.7 893.5 953.2 1,014 1,074 1,135 1,194 1,253 1,311 1,366
Free Cash Flow Margin 5.18% 5.18% 5.18% 5.18% 5.18% 5.18% 5.18% 5.18% 5.18% 5.18%
Compounded Discount Rate 3.08% 11.55% 20.74% 30.67% 41.41% 53.03% 65.65% 79.27% 94% 109.9%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 809.8 801 789.4 775.6 759.6 741.4 721.1 699.1 675.5 650.6

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 10
2025
Jun 30
2024
Jun 30
2023
Jun 30
2022
Jun 30
2021
Jun 30
2020
Jun 30
2019
Jun 30
2018
Jun 30
2017
Jun 30
2016
Jun 30
Revenue 12,743 19,609 15,009 13,640 14,694 14,544 12,861 12,468 9,458 9,319 9,092 9,474
Revenue Growth Rate 7.39% 30.65% 10.04% -7.17% 1.03% 13.09% 3.15% 31.82% 1.49% 2.5% -4.03% -1.3%
Cost of Revenue 10,243 16,041 12,175 10,928 11,969 11,724 10,129 9,932 7,659 7,462 7,182 7,468
Gross Profit 2,500 3,568 2,834 2,712 2,725 2,820 2,732 2,536 1,799 1,857 1,910 2,006
Gross Margin 19.78% 18.2% 18.88% 19.88% 18.54% 19.39% 21.24% 20.34% 19.02% 19.92% 21.01% 21.17%
Operating Income 1,060 1,278 1,009 1,214 1,508 1,239 1,321 994 792 993.9 842.3 468.8
Operating Margin 8.4% 6.52% 6.72% 8.9% 10.26% 8.52% 10.27% 7.97% 8.37% 10.67% 9.26% 4.95%
Net Income 657.5 596 511 730 1,048 805 939 612 430.2 719.6 596.4 245.5
Net Margin 5.28% 3.04% 3.4% 5.35% 7.13% 5.54% 7.3% 4.91% 4.55% 7.72% 6.56% 2.59%
Cash from Operating Activities 1,117 1,601 1,390 1,321 1,261 1,526 1,461 1,384 776.1 719.6 596.4 245.5
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 8.52% 8.16% 9.26% 9.69% 8.58% 10.49% 11.36% 11.1% 8.21% 7.72% 6.56% 2.59%
Capital Expenditure -400.2 23 -580 -492 -526 -527 -468 -400 -332.2 -369.8 -378.8 -350.9
Free Cash Flow 716.4 1,624 810 829 735 999 993 984 443.9 349.8 217.6 -105.4
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Discounting Cash Flows

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