América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.
AMX (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 17.525 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 88.81 USD
Book value of equity invested 7.13 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 4.38 USD
Terminal stage EPS 1.6 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 7.35 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.415 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 77.29 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 101.7 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 5.64%
Terminal year's excess return 1.19 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 21.76%
Average historical Payout Ratio 76.01%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 79.41%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 6.91 5.82 5.82 6.12 6.42 6.73 7.04
Ending Book Value 5.82 7.13 6.12 6.42 6.73 7.04 7.35
EPS 0.441 0.561 1.27 1.33 1.4 1.46 1.53
Return on Equity 6.29% 9.67% 21.76% 21.76% 21.76% 21.76% 21.76%
Dividend per Share
0.506 0.972 1.03 1.09 1.15 1.22
Payout Ratio 76.69% 90.2% 76.69% 77.37% 78.05% 78.73% 79.41%
Retained Earnings
0.055 0.295 0.301 0.307 0.311 0.315
Equity Cost 0.39 0.329 0.329 0.345 0.362 0.38 0.397
Cost of Equity 5.64% 5.64% 5.64% 5.64% 5.64% 5.64% 5.64%
Excess Return 0.051 0.232 0.938 0.986 1.03 1.08 1.13
Discounted Excess Return
0.888 0.883 0.877 0.87 0.862

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 3,033 1,732 1,358 4,481 4,249 9,369 2,354 3,576 2,324 1,487 416.8 2,012
Total Stockholders Equity 15,702 21,711 17,919 21,590 19,165 22,284 11,954 11,981 10,602 13,219 13,061 9,233
Return on Equity 21.76% 9.67% 6.29% 23.38% 19.07% 78.38% 19.65% 33.73% 17.58% 11.39% 4.51% 15.68%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 1,476 1,541
1,640 2,564 1,309 1,166 1,208 1,054 1,067 993.5 2,221
Payout Ratio 76.07% 90.2% 76.69% 36.46% 65.74% 13.98% 50% 33.58% 45.44% 72.42% 241.6% 110.7%
Shares Outstanding 3,232 3,045 3,077 3,123 3,197 3,298 3,313 3,300 3,303 3,304 3,290 3,300
Earnings per Share 0.925 0.561 0.441 1.44 1.22 2.84 0.704 1.09 0.702 0.446 0.125 0.608
Dividend per Share 0.456 0.506
0.525 0.802 0.397 0.352 0.366 0.319 0.323 0.302 0.673
Dividend Growth Rate 14.07%
-34.54% 102% 12.78% -3.82% 14.73% -1.24% 6.95% -55.13% 84.89%
Book Value 4.89 7.13 5.82 6.91 6.0 6.76 3.61 3.63 3.21 4.0 3.97 2.8
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