Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO-PB) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Apollo Global Management, Inc.
APO-PB (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 184.3 USD
Book value of equity invested 30.61 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 46.26 USD
Terminal stage EPS 16.56 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 29.5 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 3.37 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 107.4 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 184.6 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 11.44%
Terminal year's excess return 13.18 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 56.12%
Average historical Payout Ratio 111.1%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 92.34%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.3%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 24.17 29.44 29.44 28.22 27.65 27.68 28.29
Ending Book Value 29.44 30.61 28.22 27.65 27.68 28.29 29.5
EPS 9.83 8.56 16.52 15.84 15.52 15.53 15.87
Return on Equity 32.59% 20.82% 56.12% 56.12% 56.12% 56.12% 56.12%
Dividend per Share
1.59 17.73 16.41 15.49 14.93 14.66
Payout Ratio 107.3% 18.57% 107.3% 103.6% 99.84% 96.09% 92.34%
Retained Earnings
6.97 -1.21 -0.569 0.024 0.607 1.22
Equity Cost 2.77 3.37 3.37 3.23 3.16 3.17 3.24
Cost of Equity 11.44% 11.44% 11.44% 11.44% 11.44% 11.44% 11.44%
Excess Return 7.06 5.19 13.15 12.61 12.36 12.37 12.64
Discounted Excess Return
11.8 10.15 8.93 8.02 7.35

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 1,386 3,592 4,577 5,047 -1,961 1,839 157 843.2 -10.38 629.1 402.9 134.5
Total Stockholders Equity 5,683 17,976 17,253 14,044 1,848 3,789 1,429 1,852 1,376 1,463 835.1 649.5
Return on Equity 56.13% 20.82% 32.59% 273.1% -51.75% 128.7% 8.48% 61.27% -0.709% 75.33% 62.02% 7.53%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 500.2 933.7
376.1 361.8 329.2
Payout Ratio 108.7% 18.57% 107.3% 107.3% 107.3% 21.72% 361.4% 42.74% 107.3% 107.3% 107.3% 107.3%
Shares Outstanding 341.7 587.3 586.1 581 584.7 236.6 227.5 207.1 199.9 190.9 184 173.3
Earnings per Share 3.66 8.56 9.83 8.32 -3.43 7.32 0.44 3.72 -0.3 3.12 2.11 0.61
Dividend per Share 1.59 1.59
1.59 1.59 1.59
Dividend Growth Rate
0% 0%
Book Value 12.86 30.61 29.44 24.17 3.16 16.02 6.28 8.94 6.88 7.66 4.54 3.75
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Discounting Cash Flows

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