Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
ATVI
Activision Blizzard, Inc.
ATVI (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

Check out Nathan's YouTube Channel

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 89.05 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 40.27 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 22.16 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 62.42 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 10.77 Bil. USD
Total Debt 3.61 Bil. USD
Equity Value 71.89 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 786 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 91.47 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.26%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 28.44%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -1.68%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2023-12-31 2024-12-31 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2023
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
Revenue 8,024 8,532 9,051 9,577 10,109 10,644 11,181 11,715 12,244 12,766
Revenue Growth Rate 6.59% 6.33% 6.07% 5.82% 5.56% 5.3% 5.04% 4.78% 4.52% 4.26%
Operating Cash Flow 2,282 2,427 2,574 2,724 2,875 3,027 3,180 3,332 3,482 3,631
Operating Cash Flow Margin 28.44% 28.44% 28.44% 28.44% 28.44% 28.44% 28.44% 28.44% 28.44% 28.44%
Capital Expenditure -134.6 -143.2 -151.9 -160.7 -169.6 -178.6 -187.6 -196.6 -205.5 -214.2
Capital Expenditure Margin -1.68% -1.68% -1.68% -1.68% -1.68% -1.68% -1.68% -1.68% -1.68% -1.68%
Free Cash Flow 2,147 2,283 2,422 2,563 2,705 2,849 2,992 3,135 3,277 3,416
Free Cash Flow Margin 26.76% 26.76% 26.76% 26.76% 26.76% 26.76% 26.76% 26.76% 26.76% 26.76%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 0% 0% 7.53% 16.41% 26.06% 36.47% 47.74% 59.95% 73.2%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 2,147 2,283 2,422 2,383 2,324 2,260 2,193 2,122 2,049 1,973

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
2014
Dec 31
2013
Dec 31
Revenue 6,759 8,706 7,528 8,803 8,086 6,450 7,500 7,017 6,608 4,664 4,408 4,583
Revenue Growth Rate 6.59% 15.65% -14.48% 8.87% 25.36% -14% 6.88% 6.19% 41.68% 5.81% -3.82% -5.62%
Cost of Revenue 2,139 2,579 2,222 2,317 2,260 2,094 2,517 2,501 2,394 1,585 1,525 1,531
Gross Profit 4,624 6,127 5,306 6,486 5,826 4,395 4,983 4,516 4,214 3,079 2,883 3,052
Gross Margin 67.94% 70.38% 70.48% 73.68% 72.05% 68.14% 66.44% 64.36% 63.77% 66.02% 65.4% 66.59%
Operating Income 1,826 2,236 1,670 3,259 2,734 1,607 1,988 1,309 1,412 1,319 1,183 1,372
Operating Margin 26.84% 25.68% 22.18% 37.02% 33.81% 24.91% 26.51% 18.65% 21.37% 28.28% 26.84% 29.94%
Net Income 1,442 2,165 1,513 2,699 2,197 1,503 1,813 273 966 892 835 1,010
Net Margin 20.81% 24.87% 20.1% 30.66% 27.17% 23.3% 24.17% 3.89% 14.62% 19.13% 18.94% 22.04%
Cash from Operating Activities 1,925 2,547 2,220 2,414 2,252 1,831 1,790 2,213 2,155 1,192 1,292 1,264
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 28.44% 29.26% 29.49% 27.42% 27.85% 28.39% 23.87% 31.54% 32.61% 25.56% 29.31% 27.58%
Capital Expenditure -107.1 -99 -91 -80 -78 -116 -131 -155 -136 -111 -107 -74
Free Cash Flow 1,817 2,448 2,129 2,334 2,174 1,715 1,659 2,058 2,019 1,081 1,185 1,190
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us
Want to become our sponsor?
Check out our Affiliate Program