American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
American Water Works Company, Inc.
AWK (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 125.4 USD
Book value of equity invested 54.02 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 9.45 USD
Terminal stage EPS 7.47 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 66.29 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 4.81 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 61.92 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 87.92 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 7.26%
Terminal year's excess return 2.66 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 11.27%
Average historical Payout Ratio 54.77%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 62.38%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 50.76 52.98 52.98 55.59 58.24 60.91 63.59
Ending Book Value 52.98 54.02 55.59 58.24 60.91 63.59 66.29
EPS 5.39 5.49 5.97 6.27 6.56 6.86 7.17
Return on Equity 10.73% 10.37% 11.27% 11.27% 11.27% 11.27% 11.27%
Dividend per Share 3.0 3.12 3.36 3.62 3.89 4.18 4.47
Payout Ratio 55.66% 56.82% 56.29% 57.81% 59.34% 60.86% 62.38%
Retained Earnings 2.39 2.37 2.61 2.64 2.67 2.69 2.7
Equity Cost 3.69 3.85 3.85 4.04 4.23 4.42 4.62
Cost of Equity 7.26% 7.26% 7.26% 7.26% 7.26% 7.26% 7.26%
Excess Return 1.7 1.64 2.12 2.23 2.33 2.44 2.55
Discounted Excess Return
1.98 1.94 1.89 1.84 1.8

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 765.1 1,071 1,051 944 820 1,263 709 621 567 426 468 476
Total Stockholders Equity 7,250 10,534 10,332 9,797 7,693 7,298 6,454 6,121 5,864 5,385 5,218 5,049
Return on Equity 11.27% 10.37% 10.73% 12.27% 11.24% 19.57% 11.58% 10.59% 10.53% 8.16% 9.27% 9.68%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 407.2 608.4 585 536.5 467.7 429.5 389.1 354.8 320.4 288.4 261.7 238.1
Payout Ratio 54.77% 56.82% 55.66% 56.85% 56.98% 34.01% 54.85% 57.14% 56.51% 67.78% 55.89% 50%
Shares Outstanding 184 195 195 193 182 182 181 181 180 178 178 179
Earnings per Share 4.13 5.49 5.39 4.89 4.51 6.94 3.92 3.43 3.15 2.39 2.63 2.66
Dividend per Share 2.19 3.12 3.0 2.78 2.57 2.36 2.15 1.96 1.78 1.62 1.47 1.33
Dividend Growth Rate 9.01% 4% 7.91% 8.17% 8.9% 9.77% 9.69% 10.11% 9.88% 10.2% 10.53% 9.92%
Book Value 39.09 54.02 52.98 50.76 42.27 40.1 35.66 33.82 32.58 30.25 29.31 28.21
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us