Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) Simple Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
BBY
Best Buy Co., Inc.
BBY (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Simple Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies that have reached maturity and earn stable excess returns with little to no high growth chance. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

See our GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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↳ Beta

Beta

Beta is a value that measures the price fluctuations (volatility) of a stock with respect to fluctuations in the overall stock market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. By default, it is equal to the current yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

Market risk premium represents the excess returns over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the incremental risks connected to the equities market.

Return On Equity

Return on Equity

Return On Equity (ROE) is used to estimate the Earnings Per Share (EPS) expressed as a percentage of Book Value.

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow in perpetuity. By default, this is equal to the yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of historical years used to calculate averages for historical data.

Results

Estimated Value 55.13 USD
Book value of equity invested 12.59 USD
Next year's estimated book value 13.37 USD
Present value of future excess returns 42.54 USD
Excess Return per share 3.42 USD
Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 10.54%
Average historical Return on Equity 36.75%
Average historical Payout Ratio 58.06%
Payout Ratio used 93.2%
Risk Free Rate of the 10 Year U.S. Treasury Note 4.15%

Historical and Forecasted Data

Monetary values in USD

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Feb 01
LTM
Jan 15
2026
Feb 01
2027
Feb 01
2028
Feb 01
2029
Feb 01
2030
Feb 01
Beginning Book Value 14.02 13.05 13.05 13.37 13.71 14.05 14.4
Ending Book Value 13.05 12.59 13.37 13.71 14.05 14.4 14.76
EPS 4.31 3.04 4.8 4.92 5.04 5.16 5.29
Return on Equity 30.36% 22.97% 36.75% 36.75% 36.75% 36.75% 36.75%
Dividend per Share 3.8 3.8 4.47 4.58 4.7 4.81 4.93
Retained Earnings 0.51 -0.76 0.326 0.334 0.343 0.351 0.36
Equity Cost per Share 1.48 1.38 1.38 1.41 1.44 1.48 1.52
Cost of Equity 10.54% 10.54% 10.54% 10.54% 10.54% 10.54% 10.54%
Excess Return 2.83 1.66 3.42 3.51 3.59 3.68 3.78

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 15
2025
Feb 01
2024
Feb 03
2023
Jan 28
2022
Jan 29
2021
Jan 30
2020
Feb 01
2019
Feb 02
2018
Feb 03
2017
Jan 28
2016
Jan 30
Net Income 1,329 645 927 1,241 1,419 2,454 1,798 1,541 1,464 1,000 1,228 897
Total Equity 3,491 2,653 2,808 3,053 2,795 3,020 4,587 3,479 3,306 3,612 4,709 4,378
Return on Equity 36.75% 22.97% 30.36% 44.4% 46.99% 53.5% 51.68% 46.61% 40.53% 21.24% 28.05% 17.96%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 683 800.7 817.8 818.6 827.3 868.7 726.9 582.8 552.8 540.7 433.2 544
Payout Ratio 58.06% 125% 88.17% 65.96% 58.32% 35.41% 40.4% 37.8% 37.74% 54.05% 35.23% 60.62%
Shares Outstanding 262 210.7 215.2 217.7 224.8 246.8 259.6 264.9 276.4 300.4 318.5 346.5
EPS 5.19 3.04 4.31 5.7 6.31 9.94 6.93 5.82 5.3 3.33 3.86 2.59
Dividend per Share 2.75 3.8 3.8 3.76 3.68 3.52 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.36 1.57
Book Value 13.32 12.59 13.05 14.02 12.43 12.24 17.67 13.13 11.96 12.02 14.78 12.63
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