Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Becton, Dickinson and Company
BDX (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 287.1 USD
Book value of equity invested 87.52 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 11.04 USD
Terminal stage EPS 9.15 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 113.5 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 6.18 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 188.5 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 245.8 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 5.45%
Terminal year's excess return 2.97 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 8.06%
Average historical Payout Ratio 26.96%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 47.42%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 90.11 89.35 89.35 94.31 99.25 104.1 108.9
Ending Book Value 89.35 87.52 94.31 99.25 104.1 108.9 113.5
EPS 5.88 -0.71 7.2 7.61 8.0 8.4 8.78
Return on Equity 6.61% 5.79% 8.06% 8.06% 8.06% 8.06% 8.06%
Dividend per Share 3.89 4.07 2.24 2.67 3.14 3.64 4.16
Payout Ratio 66.16% -573.2% 31.05% 35.14% 39.24% 43.33% 47.42%
Retained Earnings 1.99 -4.78 4.97 4.93 4.86 4.76 4.62
Equity Cost 4.91 4.87 4.87 5.14 5.41 5.67 5.93
Cost of Equity 5.45% 5.45% 5.45% 5.45% 5.45% 5.45% 5.45%
Excess Return 0.971 -5.58 2.34 2.47 2.6 2.72 2.85
Discounted Excess Return
2.22 2.22 2.21 2.2 2.18

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 1,249 1,498 1,705 1,484 1,779 2,092 874 1,220 311 1,100 976 695
Total Stockholders Equity 19,963 25,241 25,889 25,796 25,301 23,677 23,775 21,177 20,994 12,948 7,634 7,165
Return on Equity 8.06% 5.79% 6.61% 5.87% 7.51% 8.8% 4.13% 5.81% 2.4% 14.41% 13.62% 13.75%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 856.8 1,174 1,127 1,054 997.5 948.9 870.4 815.2 762.1 628.4 561.5 486.1
Payout Ratio 26.96% -573.2% 66.16% 74.04% 59.02% 47.4% 113.5% 75.31% 245.8% 61.06% 57.52% 69.97%
Shares Outstanding 261.8 288.4 289.8 286.3 285 289.3 279 269.9 258.4 218.9 212.7 202.5
Earnings per Share 3.97 -0.71 5.88 4.97 5.93 6.92 2.75 4.01 1.2 4.7 4.59 3.43
Dividend per Share 3.22 4.07 3.89 3.68 3.5 3.28 3.12 3.02 2.95 2.87 2.64 2.4
Dividend Growth Rate 5.87% 4.63% 5.71% 5.14% 6.71% 5.13% 3.31% 2.37% 2.79% 8.71% 10% 10.09%
Book Value 73.9 87.52 89.35 90.11 88.77 81.85 85.22 78.45 81.26 59.14 35.89 35.38
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Discounting Cash Flows

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