Bank First Corporation (BFC) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Bank First Corporation
BFC (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 117.2 USD

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#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 351.2 USD
Book value of equity invested 63.96 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 23.07 USD
Terminal stage EPS 12.2 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 88.53 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 5.6 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 264.2 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 358.9 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 6.32%
Terminal year's excess return 6.6 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 13.78%
Average historical Payout Ratio 25.56%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 67.49%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 60.92 63.78 63.78 69.58 75.11 80.21 84.73
Ending Book Value 63.78 63.96 69.58 75.11 80.21 84.73 88.53
EPS 6.62 6.81 8.79 9.59 10.35 11.05 11.68
Return on Equity 10.58% 10.69% 13.78% 13.78% 13.78% 13.78% 13.78%
Dividend per Share 1.55 4.85 2.98 4.06 5.25 6.53 7.88
Payout Ratio 23.41% 71.22% 33.95% 42.33% 50.72% 59.1% 67.49%
Retained Earnings 5.07 1.96 5.8 5.53 5.1 4.52 3.8
Equity Cost 3.85 4.03 4.03 4.4 4.75 5.07 5.36
Cost of Equity 6.32% 6.32% 6.32% 6.32% 6.32% 6.32% 6.32%
Excess Return 2.77 2.78 4.76 5.19 5.6 5.98 6.32
Discounted Excess Return
4.47 4.59 4.66 4.68 4.65

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 39.36 68.39 65.56 74.51 45.21 45.44 38.05 26.69 25.46 15.31 14.91 13.39
Total Stockholders Equity 343.9 639.7 639.7 619.8 453.1 322.7 294.9 230.2 174.3 161.7 127.5 118.9
Return on Equity 13.78% 10.69% 10.58% 16.45% 14.01% 15.41% 16.53% 15.31% 15.74% 12.01% 12.54% 12.28%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 10.88 48.5 15.55 11.7 7.56 8.69 6.03 5.46 4.54 4.02 3.67 3.96
Payout Ratio 25.57% 71.22% 23.41% 15.8% 16.85% 19.26% 15.98% 20.46% 17.85% 26.23% 24.58% 29.58%
Shares Outstanding 7.78 10 10.03 10.17 8.04 7.62 7.44 6.82 6.67 6.29 6.22 6.29
Earnings per Share 4.72 6.81 6.62 7.28 5.58 5.92 5.07 3.91 3.81 2.44 2.4 2.13
Dividend per Share 1.25 4.85 1.55 1.15 0.94 1.14 0.81 0.8 0.68 0.64 0.59 0.63
Dividend Growth Rate 36.89% 212.9% 34.78% 22.34% -17.54% 40.74% 1.25% 17.65% 6.25% 8.48% -6.35% 85.29%
Book Value 41.08 63.96 63.78 60.92 56.32 42.33 39.62 33.75 26.12 25.73 20.5 18.9
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Discounting Cash Flows

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