BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) Simple Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
BlackRock, Inc.
BLK (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Simple Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies that have reached maturity and earn stable excess returns with little to no high growth chance. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

See our GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 508.8 USD
Book value of equity invested 309.9 USD
Next year's estimated book value 330 USD
Present value of future excess returns 198.9 USD
Excess Return per share 12.25 USD
Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 10.4%
Average historical Return on Equity 14.27%
Average historical Payout Ratio 46.52%
Payout Ratio used 70.29%
Risk Free Rate of the 10 Year U.S. Treasury Note 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 263.5 316.5 316.5 330.0 344.0 358.5 373.7
Ending Book Value 316.5 309.9 330.0 344.0 358.5 373.7 389.6
EPS 42.45 41.61 45.17 47.09 49.08 51.16 53.33
Return on Equity 16.19% 13.28% 14.27% 14.27% 14.27% 14.27% 14.27%
Dividend per Share 20.4 20.62 31.75 33.1 34.5 35.96 37.49
Retained Earnings 22.05 20.99 13.42 13.99 14.58 15.2 15.85
Equity Cost per Share 27.41 32.92 32.92 34.32 35.77 37.29 38.87
Cost of Equity 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%
Excess Return 15.04 8.69 12.25 12.77 13.31 13.88 14.46

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 4,949 6,306 6,369 5,502 5,178 5,901 4,932 4,476 4,305 4,952 3,172 3,345
Total Equity 36,450 48,036 47,495 39,347 37,744 37,693 35,283 33,547 32,374 31,825 29,098 28,503
Return on Equity 14.27% 13.28% 16.19% 14.58% 13.74% 16.72% 14.7% 13.83% 13.53% 17.02% 11.13% 12.22%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 2,320 3,196 3,061 2,986 2,946 2,515 2,229 2,059 1,935 1,628 1,512 1,457
Payout Ratio 46.52% 49.56% 48.06% 54.27% 56.89% 42.62% 45.19% 46.01% 44.93% 32.87% 47.73% 43.56%
Shares Outstanding 156.6 155 150 149.3 150.9 152.2 153.5 156 160.9 162.8 165.1 167.1
EPS 31.93 41.61 42.45 36.85 34.31 38.76 32.13 28.69 26.75 30.42 19.19 20.02
Dividend per Share 14.97 20.62 20.4 20 19.52 16.52 14.52 13.2 12.02 10.0 9.16 8.72
Book Value 234.2 309.9 316.5 263.5 250.1 247.6 229.9 215.0 201.1 195.5 176.3 170.6
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Discounting Cash Flows

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