BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
BlackRock, Inc.
BLK (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 997.71 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 505.8 USD
Book value of equity invested 309.9 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 47.94 USD
Terminal stage EPS 59.7 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 418.4 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 44.56 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 148 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 245.5 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 10.65%
Terminal year's excess return 15.15 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 14.27%
Average historical Payout Ratio 46.52%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 68.61%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 263.5 316.5 316.5 338.7 360.3 381.0 400.4
Ending Book Value 316.5 309.9 338.7 360.3 381.0 400.4 418.4
EPS 42.45 41.61 45.17 48.33 51.41 54.36 57.14
Return on Equity 16.19% 13.28% 14.27% 14.27% 14.27% 14.27% 14.27%
Dividend per Share 20.4 20.62 23.01 26.75 30.73 34.9 39.2
Payout Ratio 48.06% 49.56% 50.94% 55.35% 59.77% 64.19% 68.61%
Retained Earnings 22.05 20.99 22.16 21.58 20.68 19.47 17.94
Equity Cost 28.07 33.71 33.71 36.07 38.37 40.57 42.65
Cost of Equity 10.65% 10.65% 10.65% 10.65% 10.65% 10.65% 10.65%
Excess Return 14.38 7.9 11.46 12.26 13.04 13.79 14.5
Discounted Excess Return
10.36 10.01 9.63 9.2 8.74

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 4,949 6,306 6,369 5,502 5,178 5,901 4,932 4,476 4,305 4,952 3,172 3,345
Total Stockholders Equity 36,450 48,036 47,495 39,347 37,744 37,693 35,283 33,547 32,374 31,825 29,098 28,503
Return on Equity 14.27% 13.28% 16.19% 14.58% 13.74% 16.72% 14.7% 13.83% 13.53% 17.02% 11.13% 12.22%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 2,320 3,196 3,061 2,986 2,946 2,515 2,229 2,059 1,935 1,628 1,512 1,457
Payout Ratio 46.52% 49.56% 48.06% 54.27% 56.89% 42.62% 45.19% 46.01% 44.93% 32.87% 47.73% 43.56%
Shares Outstanding 156.6 155 150 149.3 150.9 152.2 153.5 156 160.9 162.8 165.1 167.1
Earnings per Share 31.93 41.61 42.45 36.85 34.31 38.76 32.13 28.69 26.75 30.42 19.19 20.02
Dividend per Share 14.97 20.62 20.4 20 19.52 16.52 14.52 13.2 12.02 10.0 9.16 8.72
Dividend Growth Rate 9.51% 1.08% 2% 2.46% 18.16% 13.77% 10% 9.82% 20.2% 9.17% 5.05% 12.95%
Book Value 234.2 309.9 316.5 263.5 250.1 247.6 229.9 215.0 201.1 195.5 176.3 170.6
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Discounting Cash Flows

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