BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
BLK
BlackRock, Inc.
BLK (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 236.6 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 107.2 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 47.19 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 154.4 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 9.98 Bil. USD
Total Debt 15.04 Bil. USD
Equity Value 151.9 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 155.1 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 979.5 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.24%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 22.88%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -1.58%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31 2035-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
2035
Dec 31
Revenue 26,008 27,841 29,705 31,590 33,484 35,374 37,246 39,087 40,882 42,615
Revenue Growth Rate 7.4% 7.05% 6.7% 6.35% 6% 5.64% 5.29% 4.94% 4.59% 4.24%
Operating Cash Flow 5,951 6,370 6,797 7,228 7,661 8,094 8,522 8,943 9,354 9,750
Operating Cash Flow Margin 22.88% 22.88% 22.88% 22.88% 22.88% 22.88% 22.88% 22.88% 22.88% 22.88%
Capital Expenditure -410.7 -439.6 -469 -498.8 -528.7 -558.6 -588.1 -617.2 -645.5 -672.9
Capital Expenditure Margin -1.58% -1.58% -1.58% -1.58% -1.58% -1.58% -1.58% -1.58% -1.58% -1.58%
Free Cash Flow 5,540 5,930 6,328 6,729 7,132 7,535 7,934 8,326 8,708 9,077
Free Cash Flow Margin 21.3% 21.3% 21.3% 21.3% 21.3% 21.3% 21.3% 21.3% 21.3% 21.3%
Compounded Discount Rate 7.58% 16.45% 26.07% 36.46% 47.7% 59.88% 73.09% 87.35% 102.8% 119.5%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 5,149 5,093 5,019 4,931 4,829 4,713 4,584 4,444 4,294 4,136

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 28
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 17,704 24,216 24,216 20,407 17,859 17,873 19,374 16,205 14,539 14,198 13,600 12,261
Revenue Growth Rate 7.4% 0% 18.67% 14.27% -0.078% -7.75% 19.56% 11.46% 2.4% 4.4% 10.92% 7.54%
Cost of Revenue 8,637 10,771 10,771 10,321 9,277 9,189 9,556 7,939 7,133 6,993 6,811 6,243
Gross Profit 9,068 13,445 13,445 10,086 8,582 8,684 9,818 8,266 7,406 7,205 6,789 6,018
Gross Margin 50.86% 55.52% 55.52% 49.42% 48.05% 48.59% 50.68% 51.01% 50.94% 50.75% 49.92% 49.08%
Operating Income 6,209 7,045 7,045 7,574 6,275 6,385 7,450 5,695 5,551 5,457 5,254 4,570
Operating Margin 35.66% 29.09% 29.09% 37.11% 35.14% 35.72% 38.45% 35.14% 38.18% 38.43% 38.63% 37.27%
Net Income 5,081 5,553 5,553 6,369 5,502 5,178 5,901 4,932 4,476 4,305 4,952 3,172
Net Margin 29.19% 22.93% 22.93% 31.21% 30.81% 28.97% 30.46% 30.44% 30.79% 30.32% 36.41% 25.87%
Cash from Operating Activities 3,897 4,268
4,956 4,165 4,956 4,944 3,743 2,884 3,075 3,828 2,154
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 22.88% 17.62%
24.29% 23.32% 27.73% 25.52% 23.1% 19.84% 21.66% 28.15% 17.57%
Capital Expenditure -273.4 -335
-255 -344 -533 -341 -194 -254 -204 -155 -119
Free Cash Flow 3,624 3,933
4,701 3,821 4,423 4,603 3,549 2,630 2,871 3,673 2,035
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Discounting Cash Flows

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