Banco Macro S.A. (BMA) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Banco Macro S.A.
BMA (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 361.1 USD
Book value of equity invested 61.46 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 47.07 USD
Terminal stage EPS 23.51 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 100.7 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 8.33 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 252.6 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 375.9 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 8.28%
Terminal year's excess return 15.17 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 23.34%
Average historical Payout Ratio 14.97%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 81.83%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 39.53 61.43 61.43 71.7 81.45 89.99 96.61
Ending Book Value 61.43 61.46 71.7 81.45 89.99 96.61 100.7
EPS 4.94 12.35 14.34 16.73 19.01 21.0 22.55
Return on Equity 12.49% 5.56% 23.34% 23.34% 23.34% 23.34% 23.34%
Dividend per Share
5.9 4.06 6.98 10.47 14.38 18.45
Payout Ratio 28.34% 47.77% 28.34% 41.72% 55.09% 68.46% 81.83%
Retained Earnings
6.45 10.27 9.75 8.54 6.62 4.1
Equity Cost 3.27 5.08 5.08 5.93 6.74 7.45 8.0
Cost of Equity 8.28% 8.28% 8.28% 8.28% 8.28% 8.28% 8.28%
Excess Return 1.67 7.27 9.25 10.8 12.27 13.56 14.55
Discounted Excess Return
8.55 9.21 9.67 9.86 9.78

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 546.8 218.4 315.7 726.5 667.8 1,296 883.6 665 -39.24 486.6 409.3 385
Total Stockholders Equity 3,421 3,928 3,928 2,528 8,389 4,359 2,628 1,464 2,451 3,806 2,935 1,220
Return on Equity 23.34% 5.56% 12.49% 8.66% 15.32% 49.31% 60.36% 27.13% -1.03% 16.58% 33.55% 28.77%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 189 377
113.2 76.73 0 0
0 0 0 0
Payout Ratio 27.21% 47.77% 28.34% 15.58% 11.49% 0% 0% 28.34% 28.34% 28.34% 28.34% 28.34%
Shares Outstanding 63.93 63.9 63.94 63.94 63.94 63.94 63.9 63.94 0 0 0 0
Earnings per Share 11.94 12.35 4.94 11.36 10.44 20.27 13.83 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dividend per Share 2.14 5.9
1.77 1.2 0 0
2.23 0.755 1.0 0
Dividend Growth Rate 29.6%
47.5%
195.4% -24.5%
-100%
Book Value 60.83 61.46 61.43 39.53 131.2 68.18 41.13 22.89
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Discounting Cash Flows

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