Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
BXSL (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 166.2 USD
Book value of equity invested 27.54 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 14.08 USD
Terminal stage EPS 5.97 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 34.62 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 2.23 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 124.5 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 170.3 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 6.46%
Terminal year's excess return 3.74 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 17.25%
Average historical Payout Ratio 96.56%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 75.3%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.26%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 29.54 30.18 30.18 30.58 31.21 32.08 33.21
Ending Book Value 30.18 27.54 30.58 31.21 32.08 33.21 34.62
EPS 3.45 3.17 5.21 5.27 5.38 5.53 5.73
Return on Equity 14.02% 10.86% 17.25% 17.25% 17.25% 17.25% 17.25%
Dividend per Share 3.08 3.08 4.81 4.64 4.51 4.4 4.31
Payout Ratio 89.28% 97.16% 92.31% 88.06% 83.81% 79.56% 75.3%
Retained Earnings 0.37 0.09 0.4 0.63 0.872 1.13 1.41
Equity Cost 1.91 1.95 1.95 1.97 2.01 2.07 2.14
Cost of Equity 6.46% 6.46% 6.46% 6.46% 6.46% 6.46% 6.46%
Excess Return 1.54 1.22 3.26 3.3 3.37 3.46 3.58
Discounted Excess Return
3.06 2.91 2.79 2.7 2.62

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 394.1 660.2 694.1 612 404.6 460.4 218.6 106.2 -2.94
Total Stockholders Equity 3,882 6,241 6,077 4,952 4,159 4,447 3,268 1,673 236.4
Return on Equity 17.25% 10.86% 14.02% 14.71% 9.1% 14.09% 13.07% 44.93% 17.25% 17.25% 17.25% 17.25%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 573.5 697.9 620.2 492.8 483.3
Payout Ratio 93.86% 97.16% 89.28% 80.55% 119.3% 92.31% 92.31% 92.31% 92.31% 92.31% 92.31% 92.31%
Shares Outstanding 141.3 226.6 201.4 167.6 166.1 144.5 95.33 33.86 95.33
Earnings per Share 2.66 3.17 3.45 3.65 2.44 3.19 2.29 3.14 -0.031
Dividend per Share 3.0 3.08 3.08 2.94 2.91
Dividend Growth Rate 2.9% 0% 4.76% 1.03%
Book Value 28.66 27.54 30.18 29.54 25.04 30.78 34.28 49.41 2.48
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Discounting Cash Flows

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