Citigroup Inc. (C) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Citigroup Inc.
C (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 46.47 USD
Book value of equity invested 113 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -15.4 USD
Terminal stage EPS 9.02 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 137.7 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 13.68 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -51.17 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -82.16 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 9.93%
Terminal year's excess return -4.66 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 6.55%
Average historical Payout Ratio 19.96%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 34.94%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.26%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 106.4 109.7 109.7 115.2 120.8 126.5 132.1
Ending Book Value 109.7 113.0 115.2 120.8 126.5 132.1 137.7
EPS 6.03 6.46 7.18 7.55 7.91 8.28 8.65
Return on Equity 6.17% 6.41% 6.55% 6.55% 6.55% 6.55% 6.55%
Dividend per Share 2.18 2.24 1.65 1.96 2.29 2.65 3.02
Payout Ratio 36.15% 34.67% 22.96% 25.95% 28.95% 31.95% 34.94%
Retained Earnings 3.85 4.22 5.53 5.59 5.62 5.63 5.63
Equity Cost 10.57 10.9 10.9 11.45 12.0 12.56 13.12
Cost of Equity 9.93% 9.93% 9.93% 9.93% 9.93% 9.93% 9.93%
Excess Return -4.54 -4.44 -3.71 -3.9 -4.09 -4.28 -4.47
Discounted Excess Return
-3.38 -3.23 -3.08 -2.93 -2.78

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 13,266 13,375 12,682 9,228 14,845 21,952 11,047 19,401 18,045 -6,798 14,912 17,242
Total Stockholders Equity 206,022 212,408 208,598 205,453 201,189 201,972 199,442 193,242 196,220 200,740 225,120 221,857
Return on Equity 6.55% 6.41% 6.17% 4.59% 7.35% 11.01% 5.72% 9.89% 8.99% -3.02% 6.72% 8.2%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 3,380 4,209 4,145 4,015 3,971 4,147 4,255 4,318 3,840 2,591 1,213 480.6
Payout Ratio 19.96% 34.67% 36.15% 50.73% 28.98% 18.89% 37.43% 22.25% 21.27% -41.74% 8.14% 2.79%
Shares Outstanding 2,283 1,879 1,901 1,930 1,947 2,033 2,086 2,249 2,493 2,698 2,888 3,004
Earnings per Share 5.85 6.46 6.03 4.1 7.04 10.8 5.45 8.63 7.24 -2.3 5.16 5.74
Dividend per Share 1.6 2.24 2.18 2.08 2.04 2.04 2.04 1.92 1.54 0.96 0.42 0.16
Dividend Growth Rate 76.89% 2.75% 4.81% 1.96% 0% 0% 6.25% 24.68% 60.42% 128.6% 162.5% 300%
Book Value 92.56 113.0 109.7 106.4 103.3 99.35 95.62 85.92 78.7 74.39 77.95 73.85
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Discounting Cash Flows

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