Canaan Inc. (CAN) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Canaan Inc.
CAN (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -0.749 USD
Book value of equity invested 0.932 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -0.944 USD
Terminal stage EPS -0.135 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 0.621 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.117 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -0.737 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -1.74 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 18.81%
Terminal year's excess return -0.252 USD
Average historical Return on Equity -21.81%
Average historical Payout Ratio -25.17%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 120%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.36%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 2.03 0.981 0.981 0.775 0.662 0.607 0.595
Ending Book Value 0.981 0.932 0.775 0.662 0.607 0.595 0.621
EPS -0.92 -1.51 -0.214 -0.169 -0.144 -0.132 -0.13
Return on Equity -71.73% -93.78% -21.81% -21.81% -21.81% -21.81% -21.81%
Dividend per Share
0.38 -0.008 -0.056 -0.089 -0.12 -0.156
Payout Ratio 3.87% -25.17% 3.87% 32.9% 61.93% 90.96% 120%
Retained Earnings
-1.89 -0.206 -0.113 -0.055 -0.012 0.026
Equity Cost 0.381 0.184 0.184 0.146 0.124 0.114 0.112
Cost of Equity 18.81% 18.81% 18.81% 18.81% 18.81% 18.81% 18.81%
Excess Return -1.3 -1.69 -0.398 -0.315 -0.269 -0.246 -0.242
Discounted Excess Return
-0.335 -0.223 -0.16 -0.124 -0.102

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income -122.7 -249.7 -249.8 -414.2 70.4 308.4 -32.95 -1,035 122.4 375.8
Total Stockholders Equity 432.6 266.3 266.3 348.2 612.1 543.3 66.26 692.8 241 857.2
Return on Equity -21.81% -93.78% -71.73% -67.66% 12.96% 465.5% -4.76% -429.3% 14.28% -21.81% -21.81% -21.81%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 108.6 108.6
Payout Ratio 1.23% -25.17% 3.87% 3.87% 3.87% 3.87% 3.87% 3.87% 3.87% 3.87% 3.87% 3.87%
Shares Outstanding 181.8 285.7 271.5 171.9 171.9 171.7 156.4 143.5 131.9 131.5
Earnings per Share -0.362 -1.51 -0.92 -2.41 0.41 1.84 -0.21 -1.04 0.14 0.44
Dividend per Share 0.38 0.38
Dividend Growth Rate
Book Value 2.7 0.932 0.981 2.03 3.56 3.16 0.424 4.83 1.83 6.52
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Discounting Cash Flows

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