Coupa Software Incorporated (COUP) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
COUP
Coupa Software Incorporated
COUP (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

Check out Nathan's YouTube Channel

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 1.14 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 517.7 Mil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 209.1 Mil. USD
Enterprise Value 726.8 Mil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 521.6 Mil. USD
Total Debt 2.2 Bil. USD
Equity Value -611.1 Mil. USD
Shares Outstanding 76.04 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share -8.04 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.26%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 3.66%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.82%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2023-10-31 2024-10-31 2025-10-31 2026-10-31 2027-10-31 2028-10-31 2029-10-31 2030-10-31 2031-10-31 2032-10-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2024
Oct 31
2025
Oct 31
2026
Oct 31
2027
Oct 31
2028
Oct 31
2029
Oct 31
2030
Oct 31
2031
Oct 31
2032
Oct 31
2033
Oct 31
Revenue 1,126 1,508 1,964 2,485 3,052 3,635 4,195 4,684 5,058 5,273
Revenue Growth Rate 37.65% 33.94% 30.23% 26.52% 22.81% 19.1% 15.39% 11.68% 7.97% 4.26%
Operating Cash Flow 41.18 55.16 71.83 90.89 111.6 132.9 153.4 171.3 185 192.8
Operating Cash Flow Margin 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66%
Capital Expenditure -31.8 -42.6 -55.47 -70.18 -86.19 -102.7 -118.5 -132.3 -142.8 -148.9
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.82% -2.82% -2.82% -2.82% -2.82% -2.82% -2.82% -2.82% -2.82% -2.82%
Free Cash Flow 9.38 12.56 16.36 20.7 25.42 30.28 34.94 39.02 42.13 43.93
Free Cash Flow Margin 0.833% 0.833% 0.833% 0.833% 0.833% 0.833% 0.833% 0.833% 0.833% 0.833%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 0% 0% 6.3% 15.08% 24.61% 34.91% 46.05% 58.11% 71.21%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 9.38 12.56 16.36 19.47 22.09 24.3 25.9 26.72 26.65 25.66

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 23
2023
Oct 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
Revenue 400.8 818.1 818.1 725.3 541.6 389.7 260.4 186.8 133.8 83.68 50.84
Revenue Growth Rate 38.02% 0% 12.8% 33.91% 38.98% 49.68% 39.4% 39.62% 59.87% 64.57% 41.36%
Cost of Revenue 124.3 328.5 0.026 313.2 221.7 139.2 83.45 59.91 46.27 31.91 18.72
Gross Profit 276.5 489.6 818.1 412.1 319.9 250.5 176.9 126.9 87.51 51.77 32.12
Gross Margin 66.63% 59.84% 100% 56.81% 59.07% 64.28% 67.95% 67.93% 65.41% 61.86% 63.17%
Operating Income -95.58 -272.1 0 -244.1 -166.6 -73.42 -47.36 -44.96 -35.42 -45.25 -26.64
Operating Margin -29.17% -33.26% 0% -33.65% -30.75% -18.84% -18.19% -24.07% -26.48% -54.08% -52.39%
Net Income -118 -329.9 0 -369.1 -180.1 -90.83 -55.52 -43.8 -37.61 -46.16 -27.3
Net Margin -32.95% -40.32% 0% -50.89% -33.25% -23.31% -21.33% -23.45% -28.11% -55.16% -53.69%
Cash from Operating Activities 51.87 150.1
168.1 78.2 68.16 37.44 19.77 -20.95 -22.07 -11.93
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 3.66% 18.35%
23.18% 14.44% 17.49% 14.38% 10.58% -15.66% -26.37% -23.46%
Capital Expenditure -7.02 -3.12
-13.85 -11.49 -11.97 -7.53 -4.49 -4.49 -3.87 -2.37
Free Cash Flow 44.85 147
154.2 66.71 56.19 29.91 15.28 -25.45 -25.94 -14.3
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us
Want to become our sponsor?
Check out our Affiliate Program