Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
DB (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -22.15 USD
Book value of equity invested 44.36 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -12.82 USD
Terminal stage EPS 0.431 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 46.56 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 4.05 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -53.69 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -81.49 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 8.7%
Terminal year's excess return -3.62 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 0.926%
Average historical Payout Ratio 15.26%
Payout Ratio in stable stage -360%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.26%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 39.06 40.42 40.42 41.02 41.91 43.12 44.65
Ending Book Value 40.42 44.36 41.02 41.91 43.12 44.65 46.56
EPS 1.45 1.89 0.374 0.38 0.388 0.399 0.413
Return on Equity 4.32% 5.73% 0.926% 0.926% 0.926% 0.926% 0.926%
Dividend per Share 0.489 0.772 -0.224 -0.512 -0.815 -1.14 -1.49
Payout Ratio 33.72% 40.85% -59.8% -134.9% -209.9% -285% -360%
Retained Earnings 0.961 1.12 0.598 0.892 1.2 1.54 1.9
Equity Cost 3.4 3.52 3.52 3.57 3.65 3.75 3.89
Cost of Equity 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7%
Excess Return -1.95 -1.63 -3.14 -3.19 -3.26 -3.35 -3.47
Discounted Excess Return
-2.89 -2.7 -2.54 -2.4 -2.29

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 643.4 4,616 3,485 5,267 5,911 2,692 604.7 -6,049 305.6 -901.6 -1,475 -7,380
Total Stockholders Equity 76,369 86,561 80,588 80,633 75,470 75,510 74,039 67,920 76,875 81,451 67,839 73,168
Return on Equity 0.926% 5.73% 4.32% 6.98% 7.83% 3.64% 0.89% -7.87% 0.375% -1.33% -2.02% -8.36%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 713.4 1,506 974.9 670.8 442 0 0
271.2 415.2 0
Payout Ratio 2.22% 40.85% 33.72% 14.25% 8.19% 0% 0% -59.8% 86.58% -46.25% 0% -59.8%
Shares Outstanding 1,980 1,951 1,994 2,064 2,085 2,096 2,108 2,110 2,102 1,968 1,555 1,742
Earnings per Share 0.117 1.89 1.45 2.28 2.59 1.08 0.281 -2.79 0.149 -0.456 -0.947 -4.24
Dividend per Share 0.356 0.772 0.489 0.325 0.212 0 0
0.129 0.211 0
Dividend Growth Rate 30.69% 57.87% 50.46% 53.3%
-38.86%
Book Value 38.81 44.36 40.42 39.06 36.2 36.02 35.12 32.19 36.57 41.39 43.62 41.99
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Discounting Cash Flows

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