Deluxe Corporation (DLX) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Deluxe Corporation
DLX (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

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Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 59.56 USD
Book value of equity invested 56.82 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 0.732 USD
Terminal stage EPS 1.89 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 15.66 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 1.67 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 2.01 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 3.34 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 10.67%
Terminal year's excess return 0.215 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 12.04%
Average historical Payout Ratio 107.5%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 64.78%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 13.87 14.06 14.06 14.08 14.24 14.55 15.02
Ending Book Value 14.06 56.82 14.08 14.24 14.55 15.02 15.66
EPS 1.2 1.9 1.69 1.7 1.71 1.75 1.81
Return on Equity 8.74% 10.49% 12.04% 12.04% 12.04% 12.04% 12.04%
Dividend per Share 1.2 1.2 1.68 1.53 1.4 1.28 1.17
Payout Ratio 100% 63.16% 98.93% 90.39% 81.86% 73.32% 64.78%
Retained Earnings 0.0 0.7 0.018 0.163 0.311 0.468 0.637
Equity Cost 1.48 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.52 1.55 1.6
Cost of Equity 10.67% 10.67% 10.67% 10.67% 10.67% 10.67% 10.67%
Excess Return -0.28 0.4 0.193 0.193 0.195 0.199 0.206
Discounted Excess Return
0.174 0.158 0.144 0.133 0.124

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 83.19 65.16 52.8 26.12 65.39 62.63 8.8 -199.9 155.9 230.2 229.4 218.6
Total Stockholders Equity 877.5 2,574 620.9 604.1 604.2 574.6 540.8 570.9 921.7 1,015 881 745.1
Return on Equity 12.04% 10.49% 8.74% 4.32% 11.38% 11.58% 1.54% -21.69% 15.36% 26.13% 30.79% 33.76%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 54.08 54.36 52.98 52.26 51.63 50.85 50.32 51.63 56.21 57.54 58.26 58.82
Payout Ratio 107.5% 63.16% 100% 200% 78.95% 81.08% 571.4% -25.81% 36.04% 25% 25.37% 26.91%
Shares Outstanding 45.07 45.3 44.15 43.55 43.02 42.38 41.93 43.03 46.84 47.95 48.55 49.02
Earnings per Share 1.78 1.9 1.2 0.6 1.52 1.48 0.21 -4.65 3.33 4.8 4.73 4.46
Dividend per Share 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Dividend Growth Rate 4.35% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4.35%
Book Value 19.34 56.82 14.06 13.87 14.04 13.56 12.9 13.27 19.68 21.17 18.15 15.2
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Discounting Cash Flows

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