Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Brinker International, Inc.
EAT (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 13.21 USD
Book value of equity invested 5.83 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 1.87 USD
Terminal stage EPS 0.925 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 1.78 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.209 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 5.51 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 9.6 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 11.76%
Terminal year's excess return 0.716 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 52.08%
Average historical Payout Ratio 39.67%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 91.74%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.3%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value -3.27 0.887 0.887 1.12 1.35 1.55 1.7
Ending Book Value 0.887 5.83 1.12 1.35 1.55 1.7 1.78
EPS 3.5 7.49 0.462 0.582 0.702 0.808 0.887
Return on Equity -107.6% 846.2% 52.08% 52.08% 52.08% 52.08% 52.08%
Dividend per Share
1.52 0.231 0.352 0.498 0.657 0.814
Payout Ratio 50.08% 20.29% 50.08% 60.5% 70.91% 81.33% 91.74%
Retained Earnings
5.97 0.231 0.23 0.204 0.151 0.073
Equity Cost -0.385 0.104 0.104 0.131 0.159 0.183 0.2
Cost of Equity 11.76% 11.76% 11.76% 11.76% 11.76% 11.76% 11.76%
Excess Return 3.88 7.39 0.358 0.451 0.544 0.626 0.687
Discounted Excess Return
0.32 0.361 0.389 0.401 0.394

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 154 333.4 155.3 102.6 117.6 131.6 24.4 154.9 125.9 150.8 200.7 196.7
Total Stockholders Equity -290.1 259 39.4 -144.3 -268.1 -303.3 -479.1 -778.2 -718.3 -493.7 -225.6 -78.46
Return on Equity 52.08% 846.2% -107.6% -38.27% -38.77% -27.47% -3.14% -21.56% -25.5% -66.86% -255.9% 311.7%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 70.03 67.49
58.22 69.46 72.92 76.42 75.69
Payout Ratio 44.4% 20.29% 50.08% 50.08% 50.08% 50.08% 50.08% 37.62% 55.27% 48.32% 38.04% 38.46%
Shares Outstanding 47 44.4 44.4 44.1 44.8 45.5 38.2 38.3 45.7 50.64 57.9 63.07
Earnings per Share 3.26 7.49 3.5 2.33 2.63 2.89 0.64 4.04 2.75 2.98 3.47 3.12
Dividend per Share 1.42 1.52
1.52 1.52 1.44 1.32 1.2
Dividend Growth Rate 10.01%
0% 5.56% 9.09% 10% 15.38%
Book Value -6.61 5.83 0.887 -3.27 -5.98 -6.67 -12.54 -20.32 -15.72 -9.75 -3.9 -1.24
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Discounting Cash Flows

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