First Trust Mortgage Income Fund (FMY) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
First Trust Mortgage Income Fund
FMY (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 12.0501 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -3.42 USD
Book value of equity invested 12.67 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -0.905 USD
Terminal stage EPS 0.469 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 12.31 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.688 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -15.18 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -19.92 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 5.59%
Terminal year's excess return -0.219 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 3.81%
Average historical Payout Ratio 309.7%
Payout Ratio in stable stage -17.85%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.49%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 11.48 12.67 12.67 11.97 11.61 11.55 11.78
Ending Book Value 12.67 12.67 11.97 11.61 11.55 11.78 12.31
EPS 1.91 3.02 0.483 0.456 0.442 0.44 0.449
Return on Equity 16.24% 15.03% 3.81% 3.81% 3.81% 3.81% 3.81%
Dividend per Share 0.953 0.922 1.18 0.815 0.501 0.21 -0.08
Payout Ratio 49.9% 30.53% 244.2% 178.7% 113.2% 47.66% -17.85%
Retained Earnings 0.957 2.1 -0.696 -0.359 -0.058 0.23 0.529
Equity Cost 0.642 0.708 0.708 0.669 0.649 0.646 0.659
Cost of Equity 5.59% 5.59% 5.59% 5.59% 5.59% 5.59% 5.59%
Excess Return 1.27 2.31 -0.225 -0.213 -0.207 -0.206 -0.21
Discounted Excess Return
-0.214 -0.191 -0.176 -0.165 -0.16

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 2.1 8.02 8.02 1.33 -4.94 0.803 1.08 2.82 1.01 3.05 1.63 0.228
Total Stockholders Equity 59.16 53.36 53.36 49.4 50.93 58.65 60.88 62.83 63.05 65.2 65.44 67.64
Return on Equity 3.81% 15.03% 16.24% 2.62% -8.42% 1.32% 1.72% 4.47% 1.55% 4.65% 2.41% 0.319%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 3.38 3.88 4.02 3.46 2.78 2.99 3.03 3.03 3.12 3.29 3.67 3.94
Payout Ratio 309.7% 30.53% 49.9% 259.7% -56.41% 373.7% 276.9% 107.5% 308.3% 108.3% 223.1% 1,725%
Shares Outstanding 4.22 4.21 4.21 4.3 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21
Earnings per Share 0.599 3.02 1.91 0.31 -1.17 0.19 0.26 0.67 0.24 0.72 0.39 0.054
Dividend per Share 0.801 0.922 0.953 0.805 0.66 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.74 0.78 0.87 0.935
Dividend Growth Rate -0.478% -3.25% 18.39% 21.97% -7.04% -1.39% 0% -2.7% -5.13% -10.34% -6.95% -8.33%
Book Value 14.02 12.67 12.67 11.48 12.09 13.92 14.45 14.91 14.98 15.47 15.53 16.05
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us