FirstService Corporation (FSV) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
FirstService Corporation
FSV (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

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Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 26.56 USD
Book value of equity invested 26.58 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -0.002 USD
Terminal stage EPS 2.76 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 33.61 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 2.76 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -0.012 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -0.017 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 8.21%
Terminal year's excess return -0.001 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 8.21%
Average historical Payout Ratio 28.62%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 46.91%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.36%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 30.31 26.38 26.38 27.85 29.32 30.77 32.2
Ending Book Value 26.38 26.58 27.85 29.32 30.77 32.2 33.61
EPS 2.98 2.9 2.17 2.29 2.41 2.53 2.64
Return on Equity 13.19% 11.02% 8.21% 8.21% 8.21% 8.21% 8.21%
Dividend per Share 1.0 1.05 0.699 0.822 0.953 1.09 1.24
Payout Ratio 33.56% 36.21% 32.28% 35.94% 39.59% 43.25% 46.91%
Retained Earnings 1.98 1.85 1.47 1.47 1.45 1.43 1.4
Equity Cost 2.49 2.17 2.17 2.29 2.41 2.53 2.65
Cost of Equity 8.21% 8.21% 8.21% 8.21% 8.21% 8.21% 8.21%
Excess Return 0.49 0.733 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001
Discounted Excess Return
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 59.59 130.9 134.4 100.4 121.1 135.2 87.26 -227.6 65.86 53.08 33.6 21.39
Total Stockholders Equity 635.8 1,206 1,188 1,019 907.5 799.7 660.4 425.9 236.2 203.2 181 167
Return on Equity 8.21% 11.02% 13.19% 11.06% 15.14% 20.47% 20.49% -96.36% 32.41% 29.32% 20.11% 13.48%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 29.47 47.64 45.02 30.26 35.78 32 28.22 22.94 19.41 17.6 15.82
Payout Ratio 28.96% 36.21% 33.56% 30.1% 30.8% 23.86% 30.7% -10.08% 29.51% 34.27% 47.31% 32.28%
Shares Outstanding 39.71 45.37 45.02 33.62 44.18 43.84 42.76 38.23 35.95 35.91 35.97 36.01
Earnings per Share 1.41 2.9 2.98 2.99 2.63 3.06 2.15 -5.95 1.83 1.43 0.93 0.59
Dividend per Share 0.722 1.05 1.0 0.9 0.81 0.73 0.66 0.6 0.54 0.49 0.44
Dividend Growth Rate 10.16% 5% 11.11% 11.11% 10.96% 10.61% 10% 11.11% 10.2% 11.36%
Book Value 15.5 26.58 26.38 30.31 20.54 18.24 15.45 11.14 6.57 5.66 5.03 4.64
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Discounting Cash Flows

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