Fulton Financial Corporation (FULTP) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Fulton Financial Corporation
FULTP (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 18.73 USD

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#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 26.04 USD
Book value of equity invested 17.97 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 1.2 USD
Terminal stage EPS 2.04 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 21.7 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 1.7 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 6.87 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 10.02 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 7.84%
Terminal year's excess return 0.337 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 9.4%
Average historical Payout Ratio 76.77%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 52.33%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 16.7 18.22 18.22 18.7 19.28 19.96 20.77
Ending Book Value 18.22 17.97 18.7 19.28 19.96 20.77 21.7
EPS 1.64 1.72 1.71 1.76 1.81 1.88 1.95
Return on Equity 10.46% 10% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4%
Dividend per Share 1.28 1.28 1.23 1.18 1.12 1.07 1.02
Payout Ratio 78.05% 74.42% 71.88% 66.99% 62.1% 57.21% 52.33%
Retained Earnings 0.36 0.44 0.481 0.58 0.687 0.803 0.93
Equity Cost 1.31 1.43 1.43 1.47 1.51 1.57 1.63
Cost of Equity 7.84% 7.84% 7.84% 7.84% 7.84% 7.84% 7.84%
Excess Return 0.33 0.291 0.283 0.29 0.299 0.31 0.323
Discounted Excess Return
0.262 0.25 0.239 0.229 0.221

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 232.5 319.8 288.7 284.3 287 275.5 178 232.6 208.4 171.8 161.6 149.5
Total Stockholders Equity 2,557 3,274 3,197 2,760 2,580 2,713 2,617 2,348 2,248 2,230 2,121 2,042
Return on Equity 9.4% 10% 10.46% 11.02% 10.58% 10.53% 7.58% 10.35% 9.35% 8.1% 7.92% 7.49%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 217.4 233.2 224.7 211.5 210.1 207.7
Payout Ratio 74.1% 74.42% 78.05% 77.11% 75.74% 78.53% 71.88% 71.88% 71.88% 71.88% 71.88% 71.88%
Shares Outstanding 170.7 182.2 175.5 165.2 164.1 162.2 162.4 166.9 175.4 174.7 173.3 175.7
Earnings per Share 1.34 1.72 1.64 1.66 1.69 1.63 1.08 1.36 1.19 0.98 0.93 0.85
Dividend per Share 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28
Dividend Growth Rate
0% 0% 0% 0%
Book Value 15.0 17.97 18.22 16.7 15.72 16.72 16.12 14.07 12.81 12.76 12.24 11.62
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Discounting Cash Flows

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