CGI Inc. (GIB) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
CGI Inc.
GIB (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 108.35 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 184.9 USD
Book value of equity invested 31.39 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 17.59 USD
Terminal stage EPS 9.02 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 48.67 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 3.56 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 135.9 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 193.4 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 7.31%
Terminal year's excess return 5.47 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 18.54%
Average historical Payout Ratio 3.84%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 75.84%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 25.73 30.56 30.56 35.19 39.59 43.48 46.58
Ending Book Value 30.56 31.39 35.19 39.59 43.48 46.58 48.67
EPS 5.49 5.55 5.67 6.52 7.34 8.06 8.64
Return on Equity 20.46% 18.08% 18.54% 18.54% 18.54% 18.54% 18.54%
Dividend per Share
0.213 1.03 2.13 3.45 4.95 6.55
Payout Ratio 18.24% 3.84% 18.24% 32.64% 47.04% 61.44% 75.84%
Retained Earnings
5.34 4.63 4.4 3.89 3.11 2.09
Equity Cost 1.88 2.23 2.23 2.57 2.89 3.18 3.4
Cost of Equity 7.31% 7.31% 7.31% 7.31% 7.31% 7.31% 7.31%
Excess Return 3.61 3.32 3.43 3.95 4.45 4.88 5.23
Discounted Excess Return
3.2 3.43 3.6 3.68 3.68

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 991.3 1,260 1,251 1,201 1,059 1,079 838.8 953.5 884 829.8 814.4 733.3
Total Stockholders Equity 5,564 7,069 6,970 6,117 5,255 5,507 5,451 5,196 5,177 4,972 4,926 4,562
Return on Equity 18.54% 18.08% 20.46% 22.85% 19.24% 19.8% 16.14% 18.42% 17.78% 16.85% 17.85% 16.46%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 47.97 47.97
Payout Ratio 16.93% 3.84% 18.24% 18.24% 18.24% 18.24% 18.24% 18.24% 18.24% 18.24% 18.24% 18.24%
Shares Outstanding 264.7 225.2 228.1 237.8 239.3 249.1 262 272.7 283.9 297.5 304.8 311.5
Earnings per Share 3.86 5.55 5.49 5.05 4.43 4.34 3.2 3.49 3.11 2.79 2.67 2.36
Dividend per Share 0.213 0.213
Dividend Growth Rate
Book Value 21.58 31.39 30.56 25.73 21.96 22.1 20.81 19.05 18.24 16.71 16.16 14.65
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Discounting Cash Flows

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