Grifols, S.A. (GRFS) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Grifols, S.A.
GRFS (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 8.17 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 12.64 USD
Book value of equity invested 8.95 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 0.641 USD
Terminal stage EPS 1.12 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 10.97 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.934 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 3.05 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 4.59 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 8.52%
Terminal year's excess return 0.185 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 10.21%
Average historical Payout Ratio 64.74%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 56.12%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 9.46 8.96 8.96 9.3 9.67 10.06 10.5
Ending Book Value 8.96 8.95 9.3 9.67 10.06 10.5 10.97
EPS 0.238 0.196 0.915 0.949 0.987 1.03 1.07
Return on Equity 2.53% 2.22% 10.21% 10.21% 10.21% 10.21% 10.21%
Dividend per Share
0.456 0.576 0.582 0.588 0.594 0.601
Payout Ratio 63.01% 232.5% 63.01% 61.29% 59.57% 57.84% 56.12%
Retained Earnings
-0.26 0.338 0.367 0.399 0.433 0.47
Equity Cost 0.806 0.763 0.763 0.792 0.823 0.857 0.894
Cost of Equity 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52% 8.52%
Excess Return -0.568 -0.567 0.151 0.157 0.163 0.17 0.177
Discounted Excess Return
0.14 0.133 0.128 0.123 0.118

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 452.3 135.5 162.5 65.47 222.8 302 755.6 701.6 682.8 795.6 573.7 578.1
Total Stockholders Equity 5,496 6,093 6,093 6,432 6,559 6,940 6,240 5,412 4,836 4,357 3,914 3,581
Return on Equity 10.21% 2.22% 2.53% 0.998% 3.21% 4.84% 13.96% 14.51% 15.67% 20.33% 16.02% 17.97%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 254.8 310.3
137.6 269.9 328 256.6 239.1 241.9
Payout Ratio 64.11% 232.5% 63.01% 63.01% 63.01% 63.01% 18.27% 38.63% 48.09% 32.33% 41.62% 41.68%
Shares Outstanding 682.2 680.4 680 679.8 678.4 678.5 684.5 685.1 684.7 684.2 683.2 685.3
Earnings per Share 0.661 0.196 0.238 0.096 0.332 0.444 1.1 1.02 0.996 1.16 0.841 0.847
Dividend per Share 0.373 0.456
0.201 0.394 0.479 0.375 0.35 0.353
Dividend Growth Rate -2.51%
-48.98% -17.75% 27.73% 7.14% -0.85% 17.67%
Book Value 8.06 8.95 8.96 9.46 9.67 10.23 9.12 7.9 7.06 6.37 5.73 5.23
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Discounting Cash Flows

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