Garrett Motion Inc. (GTXAP) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Garrett Motion Inc.
GTXAP (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 8.6 USD

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* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 12.67 USD
Book value of equity invested -3.41 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 4.77 USD
Terminal stage EPS 0.875 USD
Terminal stage Book Value -1.98 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost -0.204 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 11.31 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 18.47 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 10.32%
Terminal year's excess return 1.08 USD
Average historical Return on Equity -44.28%
Average historical Payout Ratio 40.96%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 110.1%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value -4.41 -3.03 -3.03 -2.42 -2.08 -1.92 -1.89
Ending Book Value -3.03 -3.41 -2.42 -2.08 -1.92 -1.89 -1.98
EPS 1.27 0.83 1.34 1.07 0.923 0.851 0.837
Return on Equity -38.37% -41.31% -44.28% -44.28% -44.28% -44.28% -44.28%
Dividend per Share
0.34 0.734 0.736 0.761 0.82 0.922
Payout Ratio 54.79% 40.96% 54.79% 68.63% 82.46% 96.29% 110.1%
Retained Earnings
0.49 0.606 0.336 0.162 0.032 -0.085
Equity Cost -0.455 -0.312 -0.312 -0.25 -0.215 -0.198 -0.195
Cost of Equity 10.32% 10.32% 10.32% 10.32% 10.32% 10.32% 10.32%
Excess Return 1.73 1.14 1.65 1.32 1.14 1.05 1.03
Discounted Excess Return
1.5 1.09 0.848 0.709 0.632

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 249.9 278 282 261 390 495 80 313 1,180 -983 199 254
Total Stockholders Equity -1,314 -700 -673 -735 -116 -468 -2,308 -2,133 -2,593 -2,195 -1,221
Return on Equity -44.28% -41.31% -38.37% -225% -83.33% -21.45% -3.75% -12.07% -53.76% 80.51% -44.28% -44.28%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 69.74 69.74
Payout Ratio 53.53% 40.96% 54.79% 54.79% 54.79% 54.79% 54.79% 54.79% 54.79% 54.79% 54.79% 54.79%
Shares Outstanding 106.8 205.1 222.3 166.6 64.71 69.71 75.54 74.6 74.06 74.11 74.11 74.11
Earnings per Share 2.63 0.83 1.27 -0.31 6.03 7.1 1.06 4.2 15.93 -13.26 2.62 3.43
Dividend per Share 0.34 0.34
Dividend Growth Rate
Book Value -15.96 -3.41 -3.03 -4.41 -1.79 -6.71 -30.55 -28.59 -35.01 -29.62 -16.48
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Discounting Cash Flows

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