The Gabelli Utility Trust (GUT) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
The Gabelli Utility Trust
GUT (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 3.05 USD
Book value of equity invested 3.65 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -0.054 USD
Terminal stage EPS 0.304 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 5.05 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.319 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -0.546 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -0.742 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 6.32%
Terminal year's excess return -0.015 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 6.01%
Average historical Payout Ratio -75.01%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 29.49%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 3.49 3.65 3.65 3.99 4.3 4.6 4.85
Ending Book Value 3.65 3.65 3.99 4.3 4.6 4.85 5.05
EPS 0.5 0.38 0.219 0.24 0.259 0.276 0.292
Return on Equity 13.52% 11.37% 6.01% 6.01% 6.01% 6.01% 6.01%
Dividend per Share 0.595 0.6 -0.119 -0.08 -0.032 0.024 0.086
Payout Ratio 119% 157.9% -54.11% -33.21% -12.31% 8.59% 29.49%
Retained Earnings -0.095 -0.22 0.338 0.319 0.291 0.253 0.206
Equity Cost 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.252 0.272 0.29 0.306
Cost of Equity 6.32% 6.32% 6.32% 6.32% 6.32% 6.32% 6.32%
Excess Return 0.28 0.15 -0.011 -0.012 -0.013 -0.014 -0.015
Discounted Excess Return
-0.01 -0.011 -0.011 -0.011 -0.011

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 15.78 36.51 36.51 -11.16 -18.42 43.16 -13.96 58.57 -5.61 25.46 41.2 -18.73
Total Stockholders Equity 277.2 321 321 270.1 270.2 277.3 226.3 273.3 247.1 234.8 337.8 270.5
Return on Equity 6.01% 11.37% 13.52% -4.13% -6.64% 19.08% -5.11% 23.7% -2.39% 7.54% 15.23% -6.02%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 36.5 52.8 52.36 46.46 44.27 34.55 33.92 32.62 31.93 20.91 26.04 25.66
Payout Ratio -75.01% 157.9% 119% -333.3% -203.8% 90.04% -175.8% 61.1% -569.1% 102.1% 63.16% -136.4%
Shares Outstanding 62.76 88 88 77.43 74.27 60.29 61.01 58.67 57.85 38.65 43.4 42.76
Earnings per Share 0.235 0.38 0.5 -0.18 -0.292 0.636 -0.316 0.91 -0.097 0.53 0.95 -0.44
Dividend per Share 0.579 0.6 0.595 0.6 0.596 0.573 0.556 0.556 0.552 0.541 0.6 0.6
Dividend Growth Rate 0.084% 0.84% -0.833% 0.671% 4.01% 3.06% 0% 0.725% 2.03% -9.83% 0% 0%
Book Value 4.71 3.65 3.65 3.49 3.64 4.6 3.71 4.66 4.27 6.08 7.78 6.33
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Discounting Cash Flows

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