Halliburton Company (HAL) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Halliburton Company
HAL (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 20.48 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 1.52 USD
Book value of equity invested 11.97 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -2.22 USD
Terminal stage EPS 0.797 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 15.25 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 1.47 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -8.23 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -13.05 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 9.65%
Terminal year's excess return -0.675 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 5.23%
Average historical Payout Ratio -13.81%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 14.31%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 10.45 11.91 11.91 12.59 13.26 13.93 14.6
Ending Book Value 11.91 11.97 12.59 13.26 13.93 14.6 15.25
EPS 2.83 2.39 0.623 0.658 0.693 0.728 0.763
Return on Equity 26.63% 19.98% 5.23% 5.23% 5.23% 5.23% 5.23%
Dividend per Share 0.68 0.68 -0.051 -0.017 0.021 0.063 0.109
Payout Ratio 24.03% 28.45% -8.19% -2.56% 3.06% 8.68% 14.31%
Retained Earnings 2.15 1.71 0.674 0.675 0.672 0.665 0.654
Equity Cost 1.01 1.15 1.15 1.21 1.28 1.35 1.41
Cost of Equity 9.65% 9.65% 9.65% 9.65% 9.65% 9.65% 9.65%
Excess Return 1.82 1.24 -0.527 -0.557 -0.587 -0.617 -0.646
Discounted Excess Return
-0.481 -0.463 -0.445 -0.427 -0.408

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 86.82 2,099 2,501 2,638 1,572 1,457 -2,942 -1,129 1,656 -463 -5,763 -671
Total Stockholders Equity 9,146 10,367 10,506 9,391 7,948 6,713 4,974 8,012 9,522 8,322 9,384 15,462
Return on Equity 5.23% 19.98% 26.63% 33.19% 23.42% 29.29% -36.72% -11.86% 19.9% -4.93% -37.27% -4.12%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 523.3 588.9 599.8 575.4 433.9 160.6 277.5 630 630 626.4 619.9 614.2
Payout Ratio -13.81% 28.45% 24.03% 21.84% 27.59% 11.04% -9.43% -55.81% 38.1% -135.8% -10.76% -91.14%
Shares Outstanding 878 866 882 899 904 892 881 875 875 870 861 853
Earnings per Share 0.07 2.39 2.83 2.93 1.74 1.63 -3.34 -1.29 1.89 -0.53 -6.69 -0.79
Dividend per Share 0.598 0.68 0.68 0.64 0.48 0.18 0.315 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72
Dividend Growth Rate 20.24% 0% 6.25% 33.33% 166.7% -42.86% -56.25% 0% 0% 0% 0% 14.29%
Book Value 10.45 11.97 11.91 10.45 8.79 7.53 5.65 9.16 10.88 9.57 10.9 18.13
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us