Harte Hanks, Inc. (HHS) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Harte Hanks, Inc.
HHS (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -14.76 USD
Book value of equity invested 2.91 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -2.63 USD
Terminal stage EPS 0.171 USD
Terminal stage Book Value -0.091 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost -0.003 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -15.04 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -17.67 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 3.27%
Terminal year's excess return 0.174 USD
Average historical Return on Equity -188.4%
Average historical Payout Ratio -46.6%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 102.3%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.26%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 2.72 2.97 2.97 -3.57 2.29 -0.181 -0.087
Ending Book Value 2.97 2.91 -3.57 2.29 -0.181 -0.087 -0.091
EPS -4.15 -4.2 -5.6 6.73 -4.31 0.341 0.164
Return on Equity -152.6% -140.7% -188.4% -188.4% -188.4% -188.4% -188.4%
Dividend per Share
3.4 0.943 0.871 -1.84 0.247 0.168
Payout Ratio -16.83% -80.94% -16.83% 12.94% 42.72% 72.49% 102.3%
Retained Earnings
-7.6 -6.55 5.86 -2.47 0.094 -0.004
Equity Cost 0.089 0.097 0.097 -0.117 0.075 -0.006 -0.003
Cost of Equity 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27%
Excess Return -4.24 -4.3 -5.7 6.85 -4.38 0.347 0.167
Discounted Excess Return
-5.52 6.42 -3.98 0.305 0.142

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income -33.16 -30.52 -30.3 -1.57 36.78 14.97 -1.69 -26.26 17.55 -41.86 -130.9 -170.9
Total Stockholders Equity 7.48 21.42 21.69 19.86 18.81 -14.99 -43.4 -39.96 -9.46 -34.63 2.66 140.3
Return on Equity -188.4% -140.7% -152.6% -8.35% -245.3% -34.5% 4.24% 277.6% -50.67% -1,576% -93.32% -52.32%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 22.99 25.02
20.96
Payout Ratio -22.24% -80.94% -16.83% -16.83% -16.83% -16.83% -16.83% -16.83% -16.83% -16.83% -16.83% -12.26%
Shares Outstanding 6.7 7.36 7.29 7.31 7.1 7.16 6.44 6.28 6.24 6.19 6.15 6.16
Earnings per Share -5.38 -4.2 -4.15 -0.21 4.98 1.85 -0.26 -4.18 2.81 -6.76 -21.3 -27.73
Dividend per Share 3.4 3.4
3.4
Dividend Growth Rate
0%
Book Value 1.1 2.91 2.97 2.72 2.65 -2.09 -6.74 -6.36 -1.52 -5.59 0.432 22.76
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Discounting Cash Flows

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