iShares Trust - iShares iBonds Dec 2021 Term Treasury ETF (IBTA) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
iShares Trust - iShares iBonds Dec 2021 Term Treasury ETF
IBTA (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -569.4 USD
Book value of equity invested 13.04 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 82.26 USD
Terminal stage EPS 25.03 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 50.17 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.334 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -664.7 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -687.1 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 0.665%
Terminal year's excess return 24.7 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 49.9%
Average historical Payout Ratio 1.84%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 91.46%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.26%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 0.924 18.95 18.95 26.54 34.8 42.5 48.12
Ending Book Value 18.95 13.04 26.54 34.8 42.5 48.12 50.17
EPS 2.85 1.74 9.46 13.25 17.36 21.21 24.01
Return on Equity 246.1% 13.12% 49.9% 49.9% 49.9% 49.9% 49.9%
Dividend per Share
0.032 1.87 4.99 9.66 15.6 21.96
Payout Ratio 19.76% 1.84% 19.76% 37.69% 55.61% 73.54% 91.46%
Retained Earnings
1.71 7.59 8.25 7.71 5.61 2.05
Equity Cost 0.006 0.126 0.126 0.177 0.231 0.283 0.32
Cost of Equity 0.665% 0.665% 0.665% 0.665% 0.665% 0.665% 0.665%
Excess Return 2.84 1.61 9.33 13.07 17.13 20.93 23.69
Discounted Excess Return
9.27 12.9 16.8 20.38 22.92

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 28 60 68.74 38.12 -54.86
Total Stockholders Equity 212.9 401.3 457.3 27.93 -34.79
Return on Equity 49.89% 13.12% 246.1% -109.6% 49.9% 49.9% 49.9% 49.9% 49.9% 49.9% 49.9% 49.9%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 0.985 0.985
Payout Ratio 18.13% 1.84% 19.76% 19.76% 19.76% 19.76% 19.76% 19.76% 19.76% 19.76% 19.76% 19.76%
Shares Outstanding 28.85 30.78 24.12 30.24 30.24
Earnings per Share 1.01 1.74 2.85 1.26 -1.81
Dividend per Share 0.032 0.032
Dividend Growth Rate
Book Value 7.94 13.04 18.95 0.924 -1.15
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Discounting Cash Flows

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