Insteel Industries, Inc. (IIIN) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Insteel Industries, Inc.
IIIN (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 36.65 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 57.07 USD
Book value of equity invested 17.52 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 5.1 USD
Terminal stage EPS 2.99 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 21.41 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 1.57 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 34.44 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 49.12 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 7.36%
Terminal year's excess return 1.41 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 13.95%
Average historical Payout Ratio 84.63%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 67.89%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 19.56 17.99 17.99 18.46 19.03 19.7 20.49
Ending Book Value 17.99 17.52 18.46 19.03 19.7 20.49 21.41
EPS 0.99 1.17 2.51 2.58 2.65 2.75 2.86
Return on Equity 5.06% 6.43% 13.95% 13.95% 13.95% 13.95% 13.95%
Dividend per Share 1.12 1.12 2.04 2.01 1.98 1.96 1.94
Payout Ratio 113.1% 96.1% 81.28% 77.93% 74.58% 71.24% 67.89%
Retained Earnings -0.13 0.045 0.47 0.568 0.675 0.791 0.918
Equity Cost 1.44 1.32 1.32 1.36 1.4 1.45 1.51
Cost of Equity 7.36% 7.36% 7.36% 7.36% 7.36% 7.36% 7.36%
Excess Return -0.449 -0.158 1.19 1.22 1.25 1.3 1.35
Discounted Excess Return
1.11 1.06 1.01 0.978 0.948

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 37.11 22.55 19.3 32.41 125 66.61 19.01 5.6 36.27 22.55 37.24 21.71
Total Stockholders Equity 287.8 341.4 350.9 381.5 389.7 302 264.8 246 241.7 223.4 224.6 200.2
Return on Equity 13.95% 6.43% 5.06% 8.32% 41.39% 25.15% 7.73% 2.32% 16.24% 10.04% 18.6% 12.14%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 25.51 21.82 21.84 51.1 41.38 41.01 31.23 2.31 2.29 21.29 25.69 20.63
Payout Ratio 84.63% 96.1% 113.1% 157.8% 33.07% 61.63% 163.6% 41.38% 6.32% 94.12% 68.84% 94.92%
Shares Outstanding 19.19 19.48 19.5 19.5 19.52 19.34 19.28 19.24 19.08 19.01 18.75 18.42
Earnings per Share 1.93 1.17 0.99 1.66 6.41 3.44 0.99 0.29 1.9 1.19 1.99 1.18
Dividend per Share 1.32 1.12 1.12 2.62 2.12 2.12 1.62 0.12 0.12 1.12 1.37 1.12
Dividend Growth Rate 249.4% 0% -57.25% 23.58% 0% 30.86% 1,250% 0% -89.29% -18.25% 22.32% 833.3%
Book Value 14.95 17.52 17.99 19.56 19.97 15.61 13.74 12.78 12.67 11.75 11.97 10.87
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Discounting Cash Flows

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