Innospec Inc. (IOSP) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Innospec Inc.
IOSP (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 87.32 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 12.73 USD
Book value of equity invested
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 2.52 USD
Terminal stage EPS 6.42 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 61.48 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 5.67 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 10.21 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 15.87 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 9.22%
Terminal year's excess return 0.752 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 10.44%
Average historical Payout Ratio 48.9%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 57.09%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 46.16 48.58 48.58 51.09 53.64 56.23 58.84
Ending Book Value 48.58 0.0 51.09 53.64 56.23 58.84 61.48
EPS 1.43 1.08 5.07 5.33 5.6 5.87 6.14
Return on Equity 3.1% 2.23% 10.44% 10.44% 10.44% 10.44% 10.44%
Dividend per Share 1.55 1.63 2.56 2.78 3.01 3.25 3.51
Payout Ratio 108.4% 150.9% 50.54% 52.17% 53.81% 55.45% 57.09%
Retained Earnings -0.12 -0.55 2.51 2.55 2.59 2.62 2.64
Equity Cost 4.25 4.48 4.48 4.71 4.94 5.18 5.42
Cost of Equity 9.22% 9.22% 9.22% 9.22% 9.22% 9.22% 9.22%
Excess Return -2.82 -3.4 0.594 0.625 0.656 0.688 0.72
Discounted Excess Return
0.544 0.524 0.504 0.483 0.463

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 83.3 27 35.6 139.1 133 93.1 28.7 112.2 85 61.8 81.3 119.5
Total Stockholders Equity 917.4 0 1,211 1,147 1,040 1,033 944.9 918.9 825.5 794.3 653.8 605.3
Return on Equity 10.44% 2.23% 3.1% 13.37% 12.88% 9.85% 3.12% 13.59% 10.7% 9.45% 13.43% 23.16%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 26.94 40.7 38.64 35.04 31.73 28.59 25.55 24.97 21.72 18.59 16.08 14.71
Payout Ratio 48.9% 150.9% 108.4% 25.18% 23.84% 30.69% 88.89% 22.27% 25.57% 30.08% 19.76% 12.3%
Shares Outstanding 24.54 24.97 24.93 24.85 24.79 24.65 24.56 24.48 24.4 24.15 24 24.11
Earnings per Share 3.4 1.08 1.43 5.6 5.37 3.78 1.17 4.58 3.48 2.56 3.39 4.96
Dividend per Share 1.09 1.63 1.55 1.41 1.28 1.16 1.04 1.02 0.89 0.77 0.67 0.61
Dividend Growth Rate 10.45% 5.16% 9.93% 10.16% 10.34% 11.54% 1.96% 14.61% 15.58% 14.93% 9.84% 10.91%
Book Value 37.37 0.0 48.58 46.16 41.97 41.91 38.47 37.53 33.83 32.89 27.24 25.11
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Discounting Cash Flows

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