Investors Title Company (ITIC) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Investors Title Company
ITIC (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

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Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 416.6 USD
Book value of equity invested 134.9 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 43.58 USD
Terminal stage EPS 26.11 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 171.8 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 13.51 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 238.2 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 347.7 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 7.86%
Terminal year's excess return 12.6 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 15.2%
Average historical Payout Ratio 56.93%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 72.11%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 132.9 133.6 133.6 141.7 149.7 157.4 164.8
Ending Book Value 133.6 134.9 141.7 149.7 157.4 164.8 171.8
EPS 16.48 15.77 20.3 21.54 22.75 23.92 25.05
Return on Equity 12.35% 11.8% 15.2% 15.2% 15.2% 15.2% 15.2%
Dividend per Share 15.84 15.84 12.17 13.57 15.02 16.52 18.06
Payout Ratio 96.12% 100.4% 59.96% 63% 66.03% 69.07% 72.11%
Retained Earnings 0.64 -0.07 8.13 7.97 7.73 7.4 6.99
Equity Cost 10.45 10.5 10.5 11.14 11.77 12.38 12.96
Cost of Equity 7.86% 7.86% 7.86% 7.86% 7.86% 7.86% 7.86%
Excess Return 6.03 5.27 9.8 10.39 10.98 11.55 12.09
Discounted Excess Return
9.08 8.93 8.75 8.53 8.28

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 29.45 29.72 31.07 21.69 23.9 67.02 39.42 31.46 21.86 25.7 19.52 12.55
Total Stockholders Equity 206.4 254.4 251.8 251.6 241 229.1 200.4 191.4 175.6 177.8 155 142.7
Return on Equity 15.2% 11.8% 12.35% 9% 10.43% 33.44% 20.6% 17.91% 12.29% 16.58% 13.68% 9.12%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 18.15 29.87 29.86 11.06 9.18 37.54 31.71 18.12 23.02 7.07 1.37 0.794
Payout Ratio 56.93% 100.4% 96.12% 50.96% 38.41% 56% 80.42% 57.62% 105.4% 27.51% 7.04% 6.33%
Shares Outstanding 1.9 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.9 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.91 1.98
Earnings per Share 15.54 15.77 16.48 11.46 12.6 35.39 20.84 16.66 11.58 13.63 10.23 6.32
Dividend per Share 9.6 15.84 15.84 5.84 4.84 19.82 16.76 9.6 12.2 3.75 0.72 0.4
Dividend Growth Rate 93.89% 0% 171.2% 20.66% -75.58% 18.26% 74.58% -21.31% 225.3% 420.8% 80% 25%
Book Value 108.8 134.9 133.6 132.9 127.0 121.0 105.9 101.4 93.08 94.29 81.27 71.9
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Discounting Cash Flows

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