Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Perpetuity - Discounting Cash Flows
SBUX
Starbucks Corporation
SBUX (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

See our GitHub Model Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 155.4 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 112.5 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 23.4 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 135.9 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 3.41 Bil. USD
Total Debt 33.52 Bil. USD
Equity Value 106 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 1.14 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 93.17 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.22%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 18.74%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin 6.45%
Cost of Equity 8.4%
Equity Weight 77.15%
Cost of Debt 1.73%
Debt Weight 22.85%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 6.68%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR 20.93%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-09-28 2027-09-28 2028-09-28 2029-09-28 2030-09-28

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Sep 28
2026
Sep 28
2027
Sep 28
2028
Sep 28
2029
Sep 28
2030
Sep 28
Revenue 37,184 39,667 42,316 45,141 48,155 51,371
Revenue Growth Rate 2.79% 6.68% 6.68% 6.68% 6.68% 6.68%
Operating Cash Flow 4,748 7,434 7,930 8,459 9,024 9,627
Operating Cash Flow Margin 12.77% 18.74% 18.74% 18.74% 18.74% 18.74%
Capital Expenditure 2,306 2,558 2,729 2,911 3,105 3,312
Capital Expenditure Margin 6.2% 6.45% 6.45% 6.45% 6.45% 6.45%
Free Cash Flow 2,442 4,876 5,201 5,549 5,919 6,314
Free Cash Flow Margin 6.57% 12.29% 12.29% 12.29% 12.29% 12.29%
Compounded Discount Rate
4.21% 11.15% 18.58% 26.48% 34.91%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 2,442 4,679 4,680 4,679 4,680 4,680

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 07
2025
Sep 28
2024
Sep 30
2023
Sep 30
2022
Sep 30
2021
Sep 30
2020
Sep 30
2019
Sep 30
2018
Sep 30
2017
Sep 30
2016
Sep 30
Revenue 29,708 37,695 37,184 36,176 35,976 32,250 29,061 23,518 26,509 24,720 22,387 21,316
Revenue Growth Rate 6.68% 1.37% 2.79% 0.558% 11.55% 10.98% 23.57% -11.28% 7.24% 10.42% 5.02% 11.24%
Cost of Revenue 21,844 29,931 28,203 26,467 26,129 23,879 20,670 18,459 19,020 17,403 15,552 14,573
Gross Profit 7,864 7,764 8,982 9,709 9,846 8,371 8,391 5,059 7,488 7,317 6,835 6,743
Gross Margin 26.85% 20.6% 24.15% 26.84% 27.37% 25.96% 28.87% 21.51% 28.25% 29.6% 30.53% 31.63%
Operating Income 4,143 3,394 3,581 5,409 5,871 4,618 4,872 1,562 4,078 3,883 4,135 4,172
Operating Margin 14.25% 9.01% 9.63% 14.95% 16.32% 14.32% 16.77% 6.64% 15.38% 15.71% 18.47% 19.57%
Net Income 3,031 1,369 1,856 3,761 4,124 3,282 4,199 928.3 3,599 4,518 2,885 2,818
Net Margin 10.64% 3.63% 4.99% 10.4% 11.46% 10.18% 14.45% 3.95% 13.58% 18.28% 12.89% 13.22%
Cash from Operating Activities 5,349 4,273 4,748 6,096 6,009 4,397 5,989 1,598 5,047 11,938 4,174 4,575
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 18.74% 11.34% 12.77% 16.85% 16.7% 13.63% 20.61% 6.79% 19.04% 48.29% 18.65% 21.46%
Capital Expenditure 1,899 1,936 2,306 2,778 2,334 1,841 1,470 1,484 1,807 1,976 1,519 1,440
Capital Expenditure Margin 6.45% 5.14% 6.2% 7.68% 6.49% 5.71% 5.06% 6.31% 6.82% 7.99% 6.79% 6.76%
Free Cash Flow 3,450 2,337 2,442 3,318 3,675 2,556 4,519 114.2 3,240 9,961 2,655 3,135
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Discounting Cash Flows

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