Tata Steel Limited (TATASTEEL.NS) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
TATASTEEL.NS
Tata Steel Limited
TATASTEEL.NS (NSE)

Estimated Value

INR

Market Price INR

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 5,570 Bil. INR
Discounted Terminal Value 2,537 Bil. INR
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 1,205 Bil. INR
Enterprise Value 3,743 Bil. INR
Cash and Equivalents 66.95 Bil. INR
Total Debt 956.4 Bil. INR
Equity Value 2,887 Bil. INR
Shares Outstanding 12.46 Bil. INR
Estimated Value per Share 231.7 INR
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.18%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 11.96%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -5.99%

Monetary values in INR

Edit Chart Values 2026-03-31 2027-03-31 2028-03-31 2029-03-31 2030-03-31 2031-03-31 2032-03-31 2033-03-31 2034-03-31 2035-03-31

Monetary values in INR

amounts except #

2026
Mar 31
2027
Mar 31
2028
Mar 31
2029
Mar 31
2030
Mar 31
2031
Mar 31
2032
Mar 31
2033
Mar 31
2034
Mar 31
2035
Mar 31
Revenue 2,315,239 2,448,237 2,584,087 2,722,422 2,862,838 3,004,899 3,148,132 3,292,037 3,436,082 3,579,710
Revenue Growth Rate 5.94% 5.74% 5.55% 5.35% 5.16% 4.96% 4.77% 4.57% 4.38% 4.18%
Operating Cash Flow 276,903 292,809 309,057 325,602 342,395 359,386 376,517 393,728 410,955 428,133
Operating Cash Flow Margin 11.96% 11.96% 11.96% 11.96% 11.96% 11.96% 11.96% 11.96% 11.96% 11.96%
Capital Expenditure -138,590 -146,551 -154,683 -162,964 -171,369 -179,873 -188,447 -197,061 -205,684 -214,281
Capital Expenditure Margin -5.99% -5.99% -5.99% -5.99% -5.99% -5.99% -5.99% -5.99% -5.99% -5.99%
Free Cash Flow 138,312 146,258 154,373 162,637 171,026 179,513 188,069 196,666 205,272 213,852
Free Cash Flow Margin 5.97% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97%
Compounded Discount Rate 1.65% 9.97% 18.99% 28.72% 39.25% 50.64% 63% 76.33% 90.75% 106.4%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 136,066 133,003 129,740 126,350 122,820 119,167 115,382 111,533 107,611 103,632

Monetary values in INR

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 14
2025
Mar 31
2024
Mar 31
2023
Mar 31
2022
Mar 31
2021
Mar 31
2020
Mar 31
2019
Mar 31
2018
Mar 31
2017
Mar 31
2016
Mar 31
Revenue 1,788,430 2,212,606 2,185,425 2,291,708 2,433,527 2,439,592 1,564,774 1,489,717 1,576,690 1,241,097 1,174,199 1,063,399
Revenue Growth Rate 5.94% 1.24% -4.64% -5.83% -0.249% 55.91% 5.04% -5.52% 27.04% 5.7% 10.42% -23.77%
Cost of Revenue 791,399 1,030,109 1,043,722 1,127,812 1,232,216 902,774 623,744 683,864 659,214 510,422 439,741 451,765
Gross Profit 997,032 1,182,497 1,141,703 1,163,896 1,201,310 1,536,817 941,030 805,853 917,476 730,675 734,458 611,634
Gross Margin 56.38% 53.44% 52.24% 50.79% 49.36% 62.99% 60.14% 54.09% 58.19% 58.87% 62.55% 57.52%
Operating Income 741,508 708,531 883,653 909,272 939,293 1,269,619 712,074 583,075 686,688 530,468 531,833 402,087
Operating Margin 41.53% 32.02% 40.43% 39.68% 38.6% 52.04% 45.51% 39.14% 43.55% 42.74% 45.29% 37.81%
Net Income 75,255 68,069 34,205 -44,374 87,604 401,539 74,902 15,565 102,183 134,343 -42,408 -3,828
Net Margin 3.81% 3.08% 1.57% -1.94% 3.6% 16.46% 4.79% 1.04% 6.48% 10.82% -3.61% -0.36%
Cash from Operating Activities 209,584 0 235,118 203,007 216,831 443,810 443,267 201,687 253,360 80,234 108,481 119,632
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 11.96% 0% 10.76% 8.86% 8.91% 18.19% 28.33% 13.54% 16.07% 6.46% 9.24% 11.25%
Capital Expenditure -101,536 0 -156,705 -182,066 -141,425 -105,222 -69,786 -103,980 -90,910 -74,785 -77,156 -114,859
Free Cash Flow 108,048 0 78,413 20,941 75,406 338,588 373,481 97,707 162,450 5,449 31,324 4,773
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