Utz Brands, Inc. (UTZ) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
UTZ
Utz Brands, Inc.
UTZ (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 78.57 Mil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 35.86 Mil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 16.58 Mil. USD
Enterprise Value 52.44 Mil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 57.7 Mil. USD
Total Debt 1.03 Bil. USD
Equity Value -924.3 Mil. USD
Shares Outstanding 86.27 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share -10.71 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.16%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 4.53%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -4.42%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-29 2026-12-29 2027-12-29 2028-12-29 2029-12-29 2030-12-29 2031-12-29 2032-12-29 2033-12-29 2034-12-29

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 29
2026
Dec 29
2027
Dec 29
2028
Dec 29
2029
Dec 29
2030
Dec 29
2031
Dec 29
2032
Dec 29
2033
Dec 29
2034
Dec 29
Revenue 1,548 1,690 1,835 1,981 2,126 2,268 2,406 2,536 2,658 2,768
Revenue Growth Rate 9.84% 9.21% 8.58% 7.95% 7.32% 6.68% 6.05% 5.42% 4.79% 4.16%
Operating Cash Flow 70.06 76.51 83.07 89.67 96.23 102.7 108.9 114.8 120.3 125.3
Operating Cash Flow Margin 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53%
Capital Expenditure -68.37 -74.67 -81.07 -87.51 -93.92 -100.2 -106.3 -112 -117.4 -122.3
Capital Expenditure Margin -4.42% -4.42% -4.42% -4.42% -4.42% -4.42% -4.42% -4.42% -4.42% -4.42%
Free Cash Flow 1.69 1.84 2 2.16 2.32 2.47 2.62 2.76 2.9 3.02
Free Cash Flow Margin 0.109% 0.109% 0.109% 0.109% 0.109% 0.109% 0.109% 0.109% 0.109% 0.109%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.14% 15.88% 25.37% 35.6% 46.66% 58.63% 71.61% 85.62% 100.8%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 1.69 1.72 1.73 1.72 1.71 1.69 1.65 1.61 1.56 1.5

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 11
2024
Dec 29
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
Revenue 1,172 1,438 1,409 1,438 1,408 1,181 964.3 768.2 772
Revenue Growth Rate 9.92% 2.01% -2.01% 2.12% 19.28% 22.44% 25.52% -0.493% 10.47%
Cost of Revenue 780.5 946.3 914.5 981.8 959.3 796.8 625.8 514.4 505.3
Gross Profit 391.8 491.4 494.8 456.5 449.1 383.9 338.5 253.8 266.7
Gross Margin 33.52% 34.18% 35.11% 31.74% 31.88% 32.52% 35.11% 33.04% 34.55%
Operating Income 25.42 22.61 58.91 16.02 5.34 10.57 31.82 38.75 19.38
Operating Margin 2.37% 1.57% 4.18% 1.11% 0.379% 0.895% 3.3% 5.04% 2.51%
Net Income -15.8 5.62 15.97 -24.94 -0.392 20.55 -96.51 -16.17 -30.5
Net Margin -1.82% 0.391% 1.13% -1.73% -0.028% 1.74% -10.01% -2.1% -3.95%
Cash from Operating Activities 56.79 101.5 106.2 76.64 48.19 48.39 29.7 27.99 15.75
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 4.53% 7.06% 7.53% 5.33% 3.42% 4.1% 3.08% 3.64% 2.04%
Capital Expenditure -57.19 -127 -98.64 -55.72 -87.97 -33.5 -21.72 -20 -13.04
Free Cash Flow -0.402 -25.45 7.53 20.92 -39.77 14.89 7.97 8 2.71
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Discounting Cash Flows

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