MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) Simple Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
MercadoLibre, Inc.
MELI (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Simple Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies that have reached maturity and earn stable excess returns with little to no high growth chance. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

See our GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 209.1 USD
Book value of equity invested 98.7 USD
Next year's estimated book value 89.48 USD
Present value of future excess returns 110.4 USD
Excess Return per share 7.2 USD
Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 10.78%
Average historical Return on Equity 19.17%
Average historical Payout Ratio 12.69%
Payout Ratio used 77.78%
Risk Free Rate of the 10 Year U.S. Treasury Note 4.26%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 61.1 85.82 85.82 89.48 93.29 97.26 101.4
Ending Book Value 85.82 98.7 89.48 93.29 97.26 101.4 105.7
EPS 37.69 40.65 16.45 17.15 17.88 18.65 19.44
Return on Equity 62.23% 47.37% 19.17% 19.17% 19.17% 19.17% 19.17%
Dividend per Share
0.6 12.8 13.34 13.91 14.5 15.12
Retained Earnings
40.05 3.66 3.81 3.97 4.14 4.32
Equity Cost per Share 6.59 9.25 9.25 9.65 10.06 10.49 10.93
Cost of Equity 10.78% 10.78% 10.78% 10.78% 10.78% 10.78% 10.78%
Excess Return 31.1 31.4 7.2 7.51 7.83 8.16 8.51

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 506.4 2,061 1,911 987 482 83 -0.707 -172 -36.59 13.78 136.4 105.8
Total Equity 1,904 5,004 4,351 3,071 1,827 1,532 1,652 2,082 336.7 325.8 428.9 339.5
Return on Equity 19.17% 47.37% 62.23% 54.02% 31.47% 5.03% -0.034% -51.08% -11.23% 3.21% 40.17% 29.73%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 25.03 30.42
26.49 18.19
Payout Ratio 12.69% 1.48%
19.42% 17.17%
Shares Outstanding 47.93 50.7 50.7 50.26 50.35 49.8 49.74 48.69 44.53 44.16 44.16 44.16
EPS 10.06 40.65 37.69 19.64 9.57 1.67 -0.014 -3.53 -0.82 0.31 3.09 2.4
Dividend per Share 0.537 0.6
0.6 0.412
Book Value 38.27 98.7 85.82 61.1 36.29 30.75 33.2 42.76 7.56 7.38 9.71 7.69
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Discounting Cash Flows

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