BCE Inc. (BCE) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
BCE Inc.
BCE (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

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Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 24.68 USD
Book value of equity invested 13.09 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 1.97 USD
Terminal stage EPS 0.863 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 6.99 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.49 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 9.62 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 13.5 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 7.01%
Terminal year's excess return 0.373 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 12.35%
Average historical Payout Ratio 374.5%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 65.67%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 16.73 13.0 13.0 9.59 7.8 6.94 6.71
Ending Book Value 13.0 13.09 9.59 7.8 6.94 6.71 6.99
EPS 0.125 0.308 1.61 1.18 0.963 0.857 0.828
Return on Equity 1.57% 3.5% 12.35% 12.35% 12.35% 12.35% 12.35%
Dividend per Share 2.9 2.44 5.02 2.97 1.82 1.09 0.544
Payout Ratio 2,320% 792.2% 312.7% 251% 189.2% 127.4% 65.67%
Retained Earnings -2.78 -2.13 -3.42 -1.79 -0.859 -0.235 0.284
Equity Cost 1.17 0.911 0.911 0.672 0.547 0.486 0.47
Cost of Equity 7.01% 7.01% 7.01% 7.01% 7.01% 7.01% 7.01%
Excess Return -1.05 -0.603 0.695 0.512 0.417 0.371 0.358
Discounted Excess Return
0.649 0.447 0.34 0.283 0.255

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 1,814 415.7 239 1,707 2,116 2,245 2,067 2,455 2,146 2,379 2,253 1,934
Total Stockholders Equity 14,688 12,044 11,863 15,263 16,361 17,877 16,472 16,214 14,922 15,223 13,036 12,294
Return on Equity 12.35% 3.5% 1.57% 10.44% 11.83% 13.63% 12.75% 16.45% 14.1% 18.25% 18.32% 15.05%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 2,265 2,246 2,646 2,609 2,561 2,529 2,252 2,333 2,247 1,985 1,816 1,694
Payout Ratio 374.5% 792.2% 2,320% 166.3% 127.7% 118.2% 125.1% 100% 104.6% 87.4% 84.62% 93.02%
Shares Outstanding 897.9 920.3 912.3 912.2 911.5 906.3 904.3 900.8 898.6 894.3 869.1 847.1
Earnings per Share 1.89 0.308 0.125 1.72 2.2 2.36 1.99 2.59 2.39 2.54 2.47 2.15
Dividend per Share 2.52 2.44 2.9 2.86 2.81 2.79 2.49 2.59 2.5 2.22 2.09 2.0
Dividend Growth Rate 1.17% -15.86% 1.4% 1.78% 0.717% 12.05% -3.86% 3.6% 12.61% 6.22% 4.5% -10.31%
Book Value 16.35 13.09 13.0 16.73 17.95 19.73 18.22 18.0 16.61 17.02 15.0 14.51
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Discounting Cash Flows

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