Intel Corporation (INTC) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 82.28 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 37.48 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 19.76 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 57.24 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 11.14 Bil. USD
Total Debt 46.55 Bil. USD
Equity Value 41.62 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 4.51 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 9.22 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.18%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 32.17%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -27.34%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-28 2026-12-28 2027-12-28 2028-12-28 2029-12-28 2030-12-28 2031-12-28 2032-12-28 2033-12-28 2034-12-28

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 28
2026
Dec 28
2027
Dec 28
2028
Dec 28
2029
Dec 28
2030
Dec 28
2031
Dec 28
2032
Dec 28
2033
Dec 28
2034
Dec 28
Revenue 53,127 53,397 53,913 54,682 55,713 57,019 58,617 60,529 62,781 65,406
Revenue Growth Rate 0.049% 0.508% 0.967% 1.43% 1.88% 2.34% 2.8% 3.26% 3.72% 4.18%
Operating Cash Flow 17,091 17,178 17,344 17,591 17,923 18,343 18,857 19,472 20,197 21,041
Operating Cash Flow Margin 32.17% 32.17% 32.17% 32.17% 32.17% 32.17% 32.17% 32.17% 32.17% 32.17%
Capital Expenditure -14,525 -14,599 -14,740 -14,950 -15,232 -15,589 -16,026 -16,549 -17,164 -17,882
Capital Expenditure Margin -27.34% -27.34% -27.34% -27.34% -27.34% -27.34% -27.34% -27.34% -27.34% -27.34%
Free Cash Flow 2,566 2,579 2,604 2,641 2,691 2,754 2,831 2,924 3,032 3,159
Free Cash Flow Margin 4.83% 4.83% 4.83% 4.83% 4.83% 4.83% 4.83% 4.83% 4.83% 4.83%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.88% 16.7% 26.28% 36.6% 47.78% 59.87% 72.98% 87.13% 102.4%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 2,566 2,391 2,231 2,092 1,970 1,864 1,771 1,690 1,620 1,561

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 10
2024
Dec 28
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
Revenue 63,730 53,439 53,101 54,228 63,054 79,024 77,867 71,965 70,848 62,761 59,387 55,355
Revenue Growth Rate 0.05% 0.637% -2.08% -14% -20.21% 1.49% 8.2% 1.58% 12.89% 5.68% 7.28% -0.922%
Cost of Revenue 30,259 34,423 35,756 32,517 36,188 35,209 34,255 29,825 27,111 23,692 23,196 20,676
Gross Profit 33,471 19,016 17,345 21,711 26,866 43,815 43,612 42,140 43,737 39,069 36,191 34,679
Gross Margin 51.68% 35.58% 32.66% 40.04% 42.61% 55.45% 56.01% 58.56% 61.73% 62.25% 60.94% 62.65%
Operating Income 11,094 -2,382 -11,678 93 2,334 19,456 23,678 22,035 23,316 18,050 13,133 14,002
Operating Margin 15.65% -4.46% -21.99% 0.171% 3.7% 24.62% 30.41% 30.62% 32.91% 28.76% 22.11% 25.29%
Net Income 9,577 198 -18,756 1,689 8,014 19,868 20,899 21,048 21,053 9,601 10,316 11,420
Net Margin 13.19% 0.371% -35.32% 3.12% 12.71% 25.14% 26.84% 29.25% 29.72% 15.3% 17.37% 20.63%
Cash from Operating Activities 21,283 8,574 8,288 11,471 15,433 29,456 35,384 33,145 29,432 22,110 21,808 19,017
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 32.17% 16.04% 15.61% 21.15% 24.48% 37.27% 45.44% 46.06% 41.54% 35.23% 36.72% 34.35%
Capital Expenditure -16,978 -16,992 -23,944 -25,750 -25,050 -20,329 -14,453 -16,213 -15,181 -11,778 -9,625 -7,446
Free Cash Flow 4,305 -8,418 -15,656 -14,279 -9,617 9,127 20,931 16,932 14,251 10,332 12,183 11,571
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Discounting Cash Flows

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