Intel Corporation (INTC) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 69.94 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 31.13 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 15.85 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 46.98 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 8.95 Bil. USD
Total Debt 50.15 Bil. USD
Equity Value 17.88 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 4.34 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 4.12 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.43%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 32.48%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -28.42%

Monetary values are in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

amounts of USD except for #

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
Revenue 53,091 53,344 53,862 54,651 55,721 57,088 58,771 60,794 63,186 65,985
Revenue Growth Rate -0.018% 0.476% 0.97% 1.47% 1.96% 2.45% 2.95% 3.44% 3.94% 4.43%
Operating Cash Flow 17,244 17,326 17,494 17,751 18,098 18,542 19,089 19,746 20,523 21,432
Operating Cash Flow Margin 32.48% 32.48% 32.48% 32.48% 32.48% 32.48% 32.48% 32.48% 32.48% 32.48%
Capital Expenditure -15,089 -15,160 -15,308 -15,532 -15,836 -16,224 -16,703 -17,278 -17,958 -18,753
Capital Expenditure Margin -28.42% -28.42% -28.42% -28.42% -28.42% -28.42% -28.42% -28.42% -28.42% -28.42%
Free Cash Flow 2,156 2,166 2,187 2,219 2,262 2,318 2,386 2,468 2,565 2,679
Free Cash Flow Margin 4.06% 4.06% 4.06% 4.06% 4.06% 4.06% 4.06% 4.06% 4.06% 4.06%
Compounded Discount Rate 3.73% 12.47% 21.95% 32.26% 43.41% 55.5% 68.61% 82.86% 98.28% 115%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 2,078 1,926 1,793 1,678 1,577 1,491 1,415 1,350 1,294 1,246

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Revenue 63,694 53,044 53,101 54,228 63,054 79,024 77,867 71,965 70,848 62,761 59,387 55,355
Revenue Growth Rate -0.018% -0.107% -2.08% -14% -20.21% 1.49% 8.2% 1.58% 12.89% 5.68% 7.28% -0.922%
Cost of Revenue 30,424 36,244 35,756 32,517 36,188 35,209 34,255 29,825 27,111 23,692 23,196 20,676
Gross Profit 33,270 16,800 17,345 21,711 26,866 43,815 43,612 42,140 43,737 39,069 36,191 34,679
Gross Margin 51.32% 31.67% 32.66% 40.04% 42.61% 55.45% 56.01% 58.56% 61.73% 62.25% 60.94% 62.65%
Operating Income 10,371 -9,967 -11,678 93 2,334 19,456 23,678 22,035 23,316 17,936 12,874 14,002
Operating Margin 14.29% -18.79% -21.99% 0.171% 3.7% 24.62% 30.41% 30.62% 32.91% 28.58% 21.68% 25.29%
Net Income 7,814 -19,196 -18,756 1,689 8,014 19,868 20,899 21,048 21,053 9,601 10,316 11,420
Net Margin 9.87% -36.19% -35.32% 3.12% 12.71% 25.14% 26.84% 29.25% 29.72% 15.3% 17.37% 20.63%
Cash from Operating Activities 21,443 10,324 8,288 11,471 15,433 29,456 35,384 33,145 29,432 22,110 21,808 19,017
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 32.48% 19.46% 15.61% 21.15% 24.48% 37.27% 45.44% 46.06% 41.54% 35.23% 36.72% 34.35%
Capital Expenditure -17,539 -23,157 -23,944 -25,750 -25,050 -20,329 -14,453 -16,213 -15,181 -11,778 -9,625 -7,446
Free Cash Flow 3,904 -12,833 -15,656 -14,279 -9,617 9,127 20,931 16,932 14,251 10,332 12,183 11,571
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Discounting Cash Flows

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