Intel Corporation (INTC) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

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Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 45.28 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 20.47 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 10.02 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 30.5 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 14.27 Bil. USD
Total Debt 46.59 Bil. USD
Equity Value 21.33 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 4.86 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 4.39 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.26%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 30.93%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -28.27%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31 2035-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
2035
Dec 31
Revenue 52,870 53,136 53,653 54,427 55,467 56,788 58,407 60,346 62,634 65,302
Revenue Growth Rate 0.033% 0.503% 0.972% 1.44% 1.91% 2.38% 2.85% 3.32% 3.79% 4.26%
Operating Cash Flow 16,353 16,435 16,595 16,834 17,156 17,564 18,065 18,665 19,373 20,198
Operating Cash Flow Margin 30.93% 30.93% 30.93% 30.93% 30.93% 30.93% 30.93% 30.93% 30.93% 30.93%
Capital Expenditure -14,946 -15,022 -15,168 -15,386 -15,681 -16,054 -16,512 -17,060 -17,707 -18,461
Capital Expenditure Margin -28.27% -28.27% -28.27% -28.27% -28.27% -28.27% -28.27% -28.27% -28.27% -28.27%
Free Cash Flow 1,406 1,413 1,427 1,448 1,475 1,511 1,554 1,605 1,666 1,737
Free Cash Flow Margin 2.66% 2.66% 2.66% 2.66% 2.66% 2.66% 2.66% 2.66% 2.66% 2.66%
Compounded Discount Rate 7.51% 16.39% 26.03% 36.44% 47.71% 59.91% 73.16% 87.46% 102.9% 119.7%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 1,308 1,214 1,132 1,061 998.9 944.6 897.2 856.3 820.9 790.6

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 01
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 28
2023
Dec 30
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 25
2020
Dec 26
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 63,449 52,853 52,853 53,101 54,228 63,054 79,024 77,867 71,965 70,848 62,761 59,387
Revenue Growth Rate 0.033% 0% -0.467% -2.08% -14% -20.21% 1.49% 8.2% 1.58% 12.89% 5.68% 7.28%
Cost of Revenue 31,500 34,378 34,378 35,756 32,517 36,188 35,209 34,255 29,825 27,111 23,692 23,196
Gross Profit 31,949 18,475 18,475 17,345 21,711 26,866 43,815 43,612 42,140 43,737 39,069 36,191
Gross Margin 49.11% 34.96% 34.96% 32.66% 40.04% 42.61% 55.45% 56.01% 58.56% 61.73% 62.25% 60.94%
Operating Income 9,651 -2,127 -2,127 -11,678 93 2,334 19,456 23,678 22,035 23,316 18,050 13,133
Operating Margin 13.02% -4.02% -4.02% -21.99% 0.171% 3.7% 24.62% 30.41% 30.62% 32.91% 28.76% 22.11%
Net Income 8,473 -267 -267 -18,756 1,689 8,014 19,868 20,899 21,048 21,053 9,601 10,316
Net Margin 11.19% -0.505% -0.505% -35.32% 3.12% 12.71% 25.14% 26.84% 29.25% 29.72% 15.3% 17.37%
Cash from Operating Activities 20,538 9,697 9,697 8,288 11,471 15,433 29,456 35,384 33,145 29,432 22,110 21,808
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 30.93% 18.35% 18.35% 15.61% 21.15% 24.48% 37.27% 45.44% 46.06% 41.54% 35.23% 36.72%
Capital Expenditure -17,420 -14,646 -14,646 -23,944 -25,750 -25,050 -20,329 -14,453 -16,213 -15,181 -11,778 -9,625
Free Cash Flow 3,119 -4,949 -4,949 -15,656 -14,279 -9,617 9,127 20,931 16,932 14,251 10,332 12,183
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Discounting Cash Flows

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