Siemens AG (SIA.BR) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Perpetuity - Discounting Cash Flows
SIA.BR
Siemens AG
SIA.BR (BRU)

Estimated Value

EUR

Market Price EUR

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

See our GitHub Model Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 154.9 Bil. EUR
Discounted Terminal Value 111.4 Bil. EUR
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 31.14 Bil. EUR
Enterprise Value 142.6 Bil. EUR
Cash and Equivalents 9.8 Bil. EUR
Total Debt 48.89 Bil. EUR
Equity Value 113.5 Bil. EUR
Shares Outstanding 792.1 Mil. EUR
Estimated Value per Share 143.3 EUR
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.18%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 11.5%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin 2.77%
Cost of Equity 9.04%
Equity Weight 68.9%
Cost of Debt 2.41%
Debt Weight 31.1%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 0.753%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR -4.37%

Monetary values in EUR

Edit Chart Values 2023-09-30 2024-09-30 2025-09-30 2026-09-30 2027-09-30

Monetary values in EUR

amounts except #

2022
Sep 30
2023
Sep 30
2024
Sep 30
2025
Sep 30
2026
Sep 30
2027
Sep 30
Revenue 71,977 72,519 73,065 73,615 74,170 74,728
Revenue Growth Rate 15.6% 0.753% 0.753% 0.753% 0.753% 0.753%
Operating Cash Flow 10,241 8,340 8,402 8,466 8,529 8,594
Operating Cash Flow Margin 14.23% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%
Capital Expenditure 2,084 2,007 2,022 2,038 2,053 2,068
Capital Expenditure Margin 2.9% 2.77% 2.77% 2.77% 2.77% 2.77%
Free Cash Flow 8,157 6,332 6,380 6,428 6,476 6,525
Free Cash Flow Margin 11.33% 8.73% 8.73% 8.73% 8.73% 8.73%
Compounded Discount Rate
0% 0% 0% 4.87% 12.02%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 8,157 6,332 6,380 6,428 6,176 5,825

Monetary values in EUR

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 10
2022
Sep 30
2021
Sep 30
2020
Sep 30
2019
Sep 30
2018
Sep 30
2017
Sep 30
2016
Sep 30
2015
Sep 30
2014
Sep 30
2013
Sep 30
Revenue 74,941 76,947 71,977 62,265 57,139 86,849 83,044 83,049 79,644 75,636 71,920 75,882
Revenue Growth Rate 0.753% 6.91% 15.6% 8.97% -34.21% 4.58% -0.006% 4.28% 5.3% 5.17% -5.22% -3.08%
Cost of Revenue 51,221 47,859 46,130 39,527 36,953 60,922 58,181 58,021 55,826 53,789 51,165 55,053
Gross Profit 23,721 29,088 25,847 22,738 20,186 25,927 24,863 25,028 23,818 21,847 20,755 20,829
Gross Margin 31.87% 37.8% 35.91% 36.52% 35.33% 29.85% 29.94% 30.14% 29.91% 28.88% 28.86% 27.45%
Operating Income 8,239 13,399 5,834 8,067 6,002 8,455 9,067 9,252 8,345 7,879 7,692 6,632
Operating Margin 11.01% 17.41% 8.11% 12.96% 10.5% 9.74% 10.92% 11.14% 10.48% 10.42% 10.7% 8.74%
Net Income 5,660 8,932 3,723 6,161 4,030 5,174 5,807 6,046 5,450 7,282 5,373 4,284
Net Margin 7.6% 11.61% 5.17% 9.89% 7.05% 5.96% 6.99% 7.28% 6.84% 9.63% 7.47% 5.65%
Cash from Operating Activities 8,439 11,007 10,241 9,996 8,862 8,456 8,425 7,176 7,611 6,612 7,100 7,340
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 11.5% 14.3% 14.23% 16.05% 15.51% 9.74% 10.15% 8.64% 9.56% 8.74% 9.87% 9.67%
Capital Expenditure 2,081 2,169 2,084 1,730 1,554 2,610 2,602 2,406 2,135 1,897 1,831 1,869
Capital Expenditure Margin 2.77% 2.82% 2.9% 2.78% 2.72% 3% 3.13% 2.9% 2.68% 2.51% 2.55% 2.46%
Free Cash Flow 6,358 8,838 8,157 8,266 7,308 5,846 5,823 4,770 5,476 4,715 5,269 5,471
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Discounting Cash Flows

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