Siemens AG (SIA.BR) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
SIA.BR
Siemens AG
SIA.BR (BRU)

Estimated Value

EUR

Market Price EUR

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 208.7 Bil. EUR
Discounted Terminal Value 95.09 Bil. EUR
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 57.12 Bil. EUR
Enterprise Value 152.2 Bil. EUR
Cash and Equivalents 9.8 Bil. EUR
Total Debt 48.89 Bil. EUR
Equity Value 123.2 Bil. EUR
Shares Outstanding 792.1 Mil. EUR
Estimated Value per Share 155.5 EUR
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.18%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 11.5%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.77%

Monetary values in EUR

Edit Chart Values 2023-09-30 2024-09-30 2025-09-30 2026-09-30 2027-09-30 2028-09-30 2029-09-30 2030-09-30 2031-09-30 2032-09-30

Monetary values in EUR

amounts except #

2023
Sep 30
2024
Sep 30
2025
Sep 30
2026
Sep 30
2027
Sep 30
2028
Sep 30
2029
Sep 30
2030
Sep 30
2031
Sep 30
2032
Sep 30
Revenue 72,519 73,341 74,452 75,863 77,590 79,651 82,071 84,876 88,101 91,784
Revenue Growth Rate 0.753% 1.13% 1.52% 1.9% 2.28% 2.66% 3.04% 3.42% 3.8% 4.18%
Operating Cash Flow 8,340 8,434 8,562 8,724 8,923 9,160 9,438 9,761 10,132 10,555
Operating Cash Flow Margin 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%
Capital Expenditure -2,007 -2,030 -2,061 -2,100 -2,148 -2,205 -2,272 -2,349 -2,439 -2,541
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.77% -2.77% -2.77% -2.77% -2.77% -2.77% -2.77% -2.77% -2.77% -2.77%
Free Cash Flow 6,332 6,404 6,501 6,624 6,775 6,955 7,166 7,411 7,693 8,015
Free Cash Flow Margin 8.73% 8.73% 8.73% 8.73% 8.73% 8.73% 8.73% 8.73% 8.73% 8.73%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 0% 0% 5.83% 14.49% 23.88% 34.01% 44.97% 56.83% 69.7%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 6,332 6,404 6,501 6,260 5,918 5,615 5,348 5,112 4,905 4,723

Monetary values in EUR

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 10
2022
Sep 30
2021
Sep 30
2020
Sep 30
2019
Sep 30
2018
Sep 30
2017
Sep 30
2016
Sep 30
2015
Sep 30
2014
Sep 30
2013
Sep 30
Revenue 74,941 76,947 71,977 62,265 57,139 86,849 83,044 83,049 79,644 75,636 71,920 75,882
Revenue Growth Rate 0.753% 6.91% 15.6% 8.97% -34.21% 4.58% -0.006% 4.28% 5.3% 5.17% -5.22% -3.08%
Cost of Revenue 51,221 47,859 46,130 39,527 36,953 60,922 58,181 58,021 55,826 53,789 51,165 55,053
Gross Profit 23,721 29,088 25,847 22,738 20,186 25,927 24,863 25,028 23,818 21,847 20,755 20,829
Gross Margin 31.87% 37.8% 35.91% 36.52% 35.33% 29.85% 29.94% 30.14% 29.91% 28.88% 28.86% 27.45%
Operating Income 8,239 13,399 5,834 8,067 6,002 8,455 9,067 9,252 8,345 7,879 7,692 6,632
Operating Margin 11.01% 17.41% 8.11% 12.96% 10.5% 9.74% 10.92% 11.14% 10.48% 10.42% 10.7% 8.74%
Net Income 5,660 8,932 3,723 6,161 4,030 5,174 5,807 6,046 5,450 7,282 5,373 4,284
Net Margin 7.6% 11.61% 5.17% 9.89% 7.05% 5.96% 6.99% 7.28% 6.84% 9.63% 7.47% 5.65%
Cash from Operating Activities 8,439 11,007 10,241 9,996 8,862 8,456 8,425 7,176 7,611 6,612 7,100 7,340
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 11.5% 14.3% 14.23% 16.05% 15.51% 9.74% 10.15% 8.64% 9.56% 8.74% 9.87% 9.67%
Capital Expenditure -2,081 -2,169 -2,084 -1,730 -1,554 -2,610 -2,602 -2,406 -2,135 -1,897 -1,831 -1,869
Free Cash Flow 6,358 8,838 8,157 8,266 7,308 5,846 5,823 4,770 5,476 4,715 5,269 5,471
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