Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) Two-Stage Dividend Discount Model - Discounting Cash Flows
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
TSM (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Dividend Discount Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, calculated using [Sum of Discounted Dividends], followed by a period of stable growth, calculated using [Discounted Terminal Value].

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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↳ Beta

Beta

Beta is a value that measures the price fluctuations (volatility) of a stock with respect to fluctuations in the overall stock market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. By default, it is equal to the current yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

Market risk premium represents the excess returns over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the incremental risks connected to the equities market.

High Growth Years

High Growth Years

The estimated number of years during which the company is expected to experience high growth. After this period, the company will transition to a stable growth phase.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of historical years used to calculate averages for historical data.

High Growth Rate

High Growth Rate

The estimated growth rate of Earnings Per Share (EPS) during the high-growth phase.

High Growth Payout

High Growth Payout

The estimated dividend payout rate expressed as a percentage of Earnings Per Share (EPS) during the high-growth phase.

Stable Growth In Perpetuity

Stable Growth in Perpetuity

The estimated stable rate at which the company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) will grow in perpetuity after the last projected period.

Stable Payout

Stable Payout

The estimated dividend payout rate expressed as a percentage of Earnings Per Share (EPS) after the last projected period.

Results

Sum of discounted dividends 22.43 USD
Discounted terminal value 168.7 USD
Terminal value 268.4 USD
Dividend in stable phase 19.41 USD
EPS in stable phase 21.57 USD
Average historical Dividend Growth Rate 14.57%
Average historical Payout Ratio 36.9%
Average historical Return on Equity 31.34%

Historical and Projected Dividends

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
LTM
Mar 04
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
Earnings Per Share 10.66 10.45 12.21 13.99 16.03 18.37 21.04
Dividend per Share 2.43 2.79 4.51 5.16 5.92 6.78 7.76
Dividend Growth Rate 32.07% 14.81% 85.46% 14.57% 14.57% 14.57% 14.57%
Discounted Dividend 2.43 2.79 4.11 4.29 4.48 4.67 4.88

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Mar 04
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Net Income 26,360 54,189 55,307 35,277 27,745 32,390 21,369 18,158 11,832 11,872 11,609 10,210
Equity 93,017 172,209 172,209 129,255 111,713 94,699 77,532 65,231 53,946 54,296 50,265 41,832
Return on Equity 31.34% 31.47% 42.79% 31.58% 29.3% 41.78% 32.76% 33.66% 21.79% 23.62% 27.75% 28.2%
Common Dividends 8,152 14,472 12,604 9,541 7,519 7,468 7,675 7,053 8,298 5,394 4,776 4,870
Payout Ratio 36.9% 26.7% 22.8% 27.06% 27.1% 23.04% 35.92% 38.86% 70.18% 45.41% 41.12% 47.66%
Shares Outstanding 5,186 5,187 5,187 5,186 5,186 5,186 5,186 5,186 5,186 5,186 5,186 5,186
Reference Market Price 131.9 353.1 319.6 208.6 104 74.49 120.3 109.0 58.06 34.97 39.65 28.75
EPS 5.08 10.45 10.66 6.8 5.35 6.25 4.12 3.5 2.28 2.29 2.24 1.97
Dividend per Share 1.57 2.79 2.43 1.84 1.45 1.44 1.48 1.36 1.6 1.04 0.921 0.939
Dividend Growth Rate 14.58% 14.81% 32.07% 26.9% 0.694% -2.7% 8.82% -15% 53.85% 12.92% -1.92% 29.88%
Dividend Yield 1.78% 0.79% 0.76% 0.882% 1.39% 1.93% 1.23% 1.25% 2.76% 2.97% 2.32% 3.27%
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Discounting Cash Flows

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