Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Perpetuity - Discounting Cash Flows
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
TSM (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

See our GitHub Model Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 658.1 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 408.5 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 105 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 513.5 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 81.24 Bil. USD
Total Debt 29.66 Bil. USD
Equity Value 565 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 5.19 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 108.9 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.43%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 61.89%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin 39%
Cost of Equity 10.23%
Equity Weight 97.58%
Cost of Debt 1.21%
Debt Weight 2.42%
Tax Rate 16.65%

Monetary values are in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Revenue 88,143 87,411 100,645 115,882 133,427 153,628
Revenue Growth Rate 25.17% -0.831% 15.14% 15.14% 15.14% 15.14%
Operating Cash Flow 55,614 54,099 62,289 71,720 82,578 95,080
Operating Cash Flow Margin 63.1% 61.89% 61.89% 61.89% 61.89% 61.89%
Capital Expenditure -29,114 -34,090 -39,251 -45,194 -52,037 -59,915
Capital Expenditure Margin -33.03% -39% -39% -39% -39% -39%
Free Cash Flow 26,500 20,008 23,038 26,525 30,541 35,165
Free Cash Flow Margin 30.06% 22.89% 22.89% 22.89% 22.89% 22.89%
Compounded Discount Rate
4.57% 15.04% 26.55% 39.26% 53.2%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 26,500 19,134 20,026 20,960 21,932 22,954

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Revenue 54,712 107,409 88,143 70,416 73,850 57,264 47,613 35,770 33,726 32,891 29,177 25,575
Revenue Growth Rate 15.14% 21.86% 25.17% -4.65% 28.96% 20.27% 33.11% 6.06% 2.54% 12.73% 14.08% 6.43%
Cost of Revenue 25,194 45,744 38,675 32,138 29,866 27,700 22,331 19,299 17,445 16,240 14,561 13,132
Gross Profit 29,518 61,665 49,468 38,278 43,985 29,564 25,282 16,471 16,280 16,651 14,615 12,443
Gross Margin 52.35% 57.41% 56.12% 54.36% 59.56% 51.63% 53.1% 46.05% 48.27% 50.62% 50.09% 48.65%
Operating Income 23,671 50,615 40,262 30,016 36,577 23,447 20,150 12,459 12,544 12,974 11,634 9,704
Operating Margin 41.59% 47.12% 45.68% 42.63% 49.53% 40.95% 42.32% 34.83% 37.2% 39.45% 39.87% 37.94%
Net Income 21,313 44,775 35,731 27,313 32,390 21,369 18,158 11,832 11,872 11,609 10,210 9,182
Net Margin 37.71% 41.69% 40.54% 38.79% 43.86% 37.32% 38.14% 33.08% 35.2% 35.3% 34.99% 35.9%
Cash from Operating Activities 34,483 69,621 55,614 40,456 52,539 40,120 29,247 20,564 18,768 19,696 16,616 16,066
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 61.89% 64.82% 63.1% 57.45% 71.14% 70.06% 61.43% 57.49% 55.65% 59.88% 56.95% 62.82%
Capital Expenditure -21,708 -38,077 -29,114 -31,121 -35,545 -30,643 -18,539 -15,704 -10,552 -11,303 -10,253 -7,938
Free Cash Flow 12,775 31,544 26,500 9,335 16,995 9,478 10,708 4,860 8,217 8,393 6,363 8,128
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