Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Perpetuity - Discounting Cash Flows
AMAT
Applied Materials, Inc.
AMAT (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

See our GitHub Model Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

Read More


Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

Read More


Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

Read More


Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 116.9 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 67.76 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 30.95 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 98.71 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 7.24 Bil. USD
Total Debt 7.05 Bil. USD
Equity Value 100.2 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 794 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 126.2 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.28%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 25.43%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin 4.03%
Cost of Equity 11.76%
Equity Weight 97.29%
Cost of Debt 3.82%
Debt Weight 2.71%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 11.12%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR 12.54%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-10-26 2027-10-26 2028-10-26 2029-10-26 2030-10-26

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Oct 26
2026
Oct 26
2027
Oct 26
2028
Oct 26
2029
Oct 26
2030
Oct 26
Revenue 28,368 31,523 35,028 38,923 43,251 48,061
Revenue Growth Rate 4.39% 11.12% 11.12% 11.12% 11.12% 11.12%
Operating Cash Flow 7,958 8,016 8,908 9,898 10,999 12,222
Operating Cash Flow Margin 28.05% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43%
Capital Expenditure 2,260 1,270 1,411 1,568 1,742 1,936
Capital Expenditure Margin 7.97% 4.03% 4.03% 4.03% 4.03% 4.03%
Free Cash Flow 5,698 6,746 7,497 8,330 9,257 10,286
Free Cash Flow Margin 20.09% 21.4% 21.4% 21.4% 21.4% 21.4%
Compounded Discount Rate
8.21% 20.67% 34.61% 50.12% 67.41%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 5,698 6,235 6,212 6,188 6,166 6,144

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 04
2025
Oct 26
2024
Oct 27
2023
Oct 29
2022
Oct 30
2021
Oct 31
2020
Oct 25
2019
Oct 27
2018
Oct 28
2017
Oct 29
2016
Oct 30
Revenue 21,210 28,368 28,368 27,176 26,517 25,785 23,063 17,202 14,608 16,705 14,698 10,825
Revenue Growth Rate 11.12% 0% 4.39% 2.48% 2.84% 11.8% 34.07% 17.76% -12.55% 13.65% 35.78% 12.07%
Cost of Revenue 11,345 14,560 14,560 14,279 14,133 13,792 12,149 9,510 8,222 9,188 8,086 6,314
Gross Profit 9,866 13,808 13,808 12,897 12,384 11,993 10,914 7,692 6,386 7,517 6,612 4,511
Gross Margin 45.95% 48.67% 48.67% 47.46% 46.7% 46.51% 47.32% 44.72% 43.72% 45% 44.99% 41.67%
Operating Income 5,915 8,289 8,289 7,867 7,654 7,788 6,889 4,365 3,350 4,491 3,936 2,152
Operating Margin 27.11% 29.22% 29.22% 28.95% 28.86% 30.2% 29.87% 25.37% 22.93% 26.88% 26.78% 19.88%
Net Income 5,004 6,998 6,998 7,177 6,856 6,525 5,888 3,619 2,706 3,038 3,519 1,721
Net Margin 22.73% 24.67% 24.67% 26.41% 25.86% 25.31% 25.53% 21.04% 18.52% 18.19% 23.94% 15.9%
Cash from Operating Activities 5,550 7,958 7,958 8,677 8,700 5,399 5,442 3,804 3,247 3,787 3,609 2,466
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 25.43% 28.05% 28.05% 31.93% 32.81% 20.94% 23.6% 22.11% 22.23% 22.67% 24.55% 22.78%
Capital Expenditure 941.3 2,260 2,260 1,190 1,106 787 668 422 441 622 345 253
Capital Expenditure Margin 4.03% 7.97% 7.97% 4.38% 4.17% 3.05% 2.9% 2.45% 3.02% 3.72% 2.35% 2.34%
Free Cash Flow 4,608 5,698 5,698 7,487 7,594 4,612 4,774 3,382 2,806 3,165 3,264 2,213
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us
Want to become our sponsor?
Check out our Affiliate Program