Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
AMAT
Applied Materials, Inc.
AMAT (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 331.7 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 149.7 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 63.82 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 213.5 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 7.24 Bil. USD
Total Debt 7.05 Bil. USD
Equity Value 215 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 794 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 270.8 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.28%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 25.43%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -4.03%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-10-26 2027-10-26 2028-10-26 2029-10-26 2030-10-26 2031-10-26 2032-10-26 2033-10-26 2034-10-26 2035-10-26

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Oct 26
2027
Oct 26
2028
Oct 26
2029
Oct 26
2030
Oct 26
2031
Oct 26
2032
Oct 26
2033
Oct 26
2034
Oct 26
2035
Oct 26
Revenue 31,523 34,788 38,128 41,498 44,852 48,135 51,292 54,267 57,002 59,442
Revenue Growth Rate 11.12% 10.36% 9.6% 8.84% 8.08% 7.32% 6.56% 5.8% 5.04% 4.28%
Operating Cash Flow 8,016 8,847 9,696 10,553 11,406 12,241 13,044 13,800 14,496 15,116
Operating Cash Flow Margin 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43%
Capital Expenditure -1,270 -1,401 -1,536 -1,672 -1,807 -1,939 -2,066 -2,186 -2,296 -2,394
Capital Expenditure Margin -4.03% -4.03% -4.03% -4.03% -4.03% -4.03% -4.03% -4.03% -4.03% -4.03%
Free Cash Flow 6,746 7,445 8,160 8,881 9,599 10,302 10,978 11,614 12,200 12,722
Free Cash Flow Margin 21.4% 21.4% 21.4% 21.4% 21.4% 21.4% 21.4% 21.4% 21.4% 21.4%
Compounded Discount Rate 5.92% 14.69% 24.22% 34.5% 45.64% 57.7% 70.79% 84.93% 100.2% 116.8%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 6,369 6,492 6,569 6,603 6,591 6,533 6,427 6,280 6,092 5,867

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 04
2025
Oct 26
2024
Oct 27
2023
Oct 29
2022
Oct 30
2021
Oct 31
2020
Oct 25
2019
Oct 27
2018
Oct 28
2017
Oct 29
2016
Oct 30
Revenue 21,210 28,368 28,368 27,176 26,517 25,785 23,063 17,202 14,608 16,705 14,698 10,825
Revenue Growth Rate 11.12% 0% 4.39% 2.48% 2.84% 11.8% 34.07% 17.76% -12.55% 13.65% 35.78% 12.07%
Cost of Revenue 11,345 14,560 14,560 14,279 14,133 13,792 12,149 9,510 8,222 9,188 8,086 6,314
Gross Profit 9,866 13,808 13,808 12,897 12,384 11,993 10,914 7,692 6,386 7,517 6,612 4,511
Gross Margin 45.95% 48.67% 48.67% 47.46% 46.7% 46.51% 47.32% 44.72% 43.72% 45% 44.99% 41.67%
Operating Income 5,915 8,289 8,289 7,867 7,654 7,788 6,889 4,365 3,350 4,491 3,936 2,152
Operating Margin 27.11% 29.22% 29.22% 28.95% 28.86% 30.2% 29.87% 25.37% 22.93% 26.88% 26.78% 19.88%
Net Income 5,004 6,998 6,998 7,177 6,856 6,525 5,888 3,619 2,706 3,038 3,519 1,721
Net Margin 22.73% 24.67% 24.67% 26.41% 25.86% 25.31% 25.53% 21.04% 18.52% 18.19% 23.94% 15.9%
Cash from Operating Activities 5,550 7,958 7,958 8,677 8,700 5,399 5,442 3,804 3,247 3,787 3,609 2,466
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 25.43% 28.05% 28.05% 31.93% 32.81% 20.94% 23.6% 22.11% 22.23% 22.67% 24.55% 22.78%
Capital Expenditure -941.3 -2,260 -2,260 -1,190 -1,106 -787 -668 -422 -441 -622 -345 -253
Free Cash Flow 4,608 5,698 5,698 7,487 7,594 4,612 4,774 3,382 2,806 3,165 3,264 2,213
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Discounting Cash Flows

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