Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-A) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
BRK-A
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
BRK-A (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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↳ Beta

Beta

Beta is a value that measures the price fluctuations (volatility) of a stock with respect to fluctuations in the overall stock market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. By default, it is equal to the current yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

Market risk premium represents the excess returns over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the incremental risks connected to the equities market.

High Growth Years

High Growth Years

The estimated number of years during which the company is expected to experience high growth. After this period, the company will transition to a stable growth phase.

Stable Return On Equity

Stable Return on Equity

The stable Return On Equity (ROE) estimated after the last projected period.

Stable Growth In Perpetuity

Stable Growth in Perpetuity

The stable rate at which the company's book value is assumed to grow in perpetuity after the last projected period.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of historical years used to calculate averages for historical data.

Results

Estimated Value 1.06 Mil. USD
Book value of equity invested 455.1 Thou. USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 90.91 Thou. USD
Terminal stage EPS 78.94 Thou. USD
Terminal stage Book Value 646.5 Thou. USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 51.4 Thou. USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 514.7 Thou. USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 754.6 Thou. USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 7.95%
Terminal year's excess return 27.54 Thou. USD
Average historical Return on Equity 12.21%
Average historical Payout Ratio
Payout Ratio in stable stage 64.78%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.3%

Historical and Forecasted Data

Monetary values are in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 387351 451577 451577 499570 544761 585423 619857
Ending Book Value 451577 455125 499570 544761 585423 619857 646511
EPS 61905 56285 55137 60997 66515 71480 75684
Return on Equity 15.86% 12.46% 12.21% 12.21% 12.21% 12.21% 12.21%
Dividend per Share
7143 15806 25854 37045 49030
Payout Ratio 12.96% 12.96% 12.96% 25.91% 38.87% 51.83% 64.78%
Retained Earnings
47993 45191 40661 34434 26653
Equity Cost 30794 35900 35900 39715 43308 46541 49278
Cost of Equity 7.95% 7.95% 7.95% 7.95% 7.95% 7.95% 7.95%
Excess Return 31110 20385 19237 21281 23206 24939 26405
Discounted Excess Return
17820 18262 18447 18364 18013

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 50,395 80,896 88,995 96,223 -22,759 89,937 42,521 81,417 4,021 44,940 24,074 24,083
Total Stockholders Equity 449,755 654,471 649,368 561,273 473,424 506,199 443,164 424,791 348,703 348,296 282,070 255,550
Return on Equity 12.21% 12.46% 15.86% 20.32% -4.5% 20.29% 10.01% 23.35% 1.15% 15.93% 9.42% 10.03%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders
Payout Ratio 12.96% 12.96% 12.96% 12.96% 12.96% 12.96% 12.96% 12.96% 12.96% 12.96% 12.96% 12.96%
Shares Outstanding 1.56 1.44 1.44 1.45 1.47 1.51 1.59 1.63 1.64 1.65 1.64 1.64
Earnings per Share 33098 56285 61905 66405 -15540 59460 26670 49830 2445 27330 14640 14655
Dividend per Share
Dividend Growth Rate
Book Value 294590 455125 451577 387351 322276 335231 278020 259970 212106 211730 171575 155538
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