Dollarama Inc. (DOL.TO) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
DOL.TO
Dollarama Inc.
DOL.TO (TSX)

Estimated Value

CAD

Market Price CAD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

Check out Nathan's YouTube Channel

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 58.34 Bil. CAD
Discounted Terminal Value 26.43 Bil. CAD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 11.98 Bil. CAD
Enterprise Value 38.4 Bil. CAD
Cash and Equivalents 205.5 Mil. CAD
Total Debt 5.39 Bil. CAD
Equity Value 33.22 Bil. CAD
Shares Outstanding 275 Mil. CAD
Estimated Value per Share 120.8 CAD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.24%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 20.71%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -3.63%

Monetary values in CAD

Edit Chart Values 2026-01-31 2027-01-31 2028-01-31 2029-01-31 2030-01-31 2031-01-31 2032-01-31 2033-01-31 2034-01-31 2035-01-31

Monetary values in CAD

amounts except #

2026
Jan 31
2027
Jan 31
2028
Jan 31
2029
Jan 31
2030
Jan 31
2031
Jan 31
2032
Jan 31
2033
Jan 31
2034
Jan 31
2035
Jan 31
Revenue 7,094 7,797 8,515 9,238 9,957 10,662 11,341 11,982 12,575 13,108
Revenue Growth Rate 10.62% 9.91% 9.2% 8.49% 7.78% 7.08% 6.37% 5.66% 4.95% 4.24%
Operating Cash Flow 1,469 1,615 1,763 1,913 2,062 2,208 2,349 2,482 2,604 2,715
Operating Cash Flow Margin 20.71% 20.71% 20.71% 20.71% 20.71% 20.71% 20.71% 20.71% 20.71% 20.71%
Capital Expenditure -257.7 -283.3 -309.3 -335.6 -361.7 -387.3 -412 -435.3 -456.9 -476.2
Capital Expenditure Margin -3.63% -3.63% -3.63% -3.63% -3.63% -3.63% -3.63% -3.63% -3.63% -3.63%
Free Cash Flow 1,211 1,332 1,454 1,578 1,700 1,821 1,937 2,046 2,147 2,239
Free Cash Flow Margin 17.08% 17.08% 17.08% 17.08% 17.08% 17.08% 17.08% 17.08% 17.08% 17.08%
Compounded Discount Rate 0.239% 8.5% 17.44% 27.14% 37.62% 48.96% 61.23% 74.56% 88.94% 104.5%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 1,209 1,227 1,238 1,241 1,236 1,222 1,201 1,172 1,137 1,095

Monetary values in CAD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 20
2025
Jan 31
2024
Jan 31
2023
Jan 31
2022
Jan 31
2021
Jan 31
2020
Jan 31
2019
Jan 31
2018
Jan 31
2017
Jan 31
2016
Jan 31
Revenue 4,449 7,036 6,413 5,867 5,053 4,331 4,026 3,787 3,549 3,266 2,963 2,650
Revenue Growth Rate 10.62% 9.71% 9.3% 16.12% 16.67% 7.56% 6.31% 6.73% 8.65% 10.22% 11.81% 13.71%
Cost of Revenue 2,375 3,863 3,519 3,254 2,702 2,282 2,115 2,002 1,838 1,666 1,523 1,361
Gross Profit 2,074 3,173 2,894 2,613 2,351 2,049 1,912 1,785 1,710 1,600 1,440 1,289
Gross Margin 47.06% 45.1% 45.12% 44.54% 46.53% 47.31% 47.48% 47.14% 48.2% 49% 48.59% 48.64%
Operating Income 1,071 1,869 1,711 1,496 1,192 984.6 861 868.1 845.2 755.6 645.5 549.4
Operating Margin 23.53% 26.57% 26.67% 25.49% 23.58% 22.74% 21.38% 22.92% 23.82% 23.13% 21.78% 20.73%
Net Income 725.4 1,308 1,169 1,010 801.9 663.2 564.3 564 548.9 519.4 445.6 385.1
Net Margin 15.91% 18.59% 18.22% 17.22% 15.87% 15.31% 14.02% 14.89% 15.47% 15.9% 15.04% 14.53%
Cash from Operating Activities 951.9 1,732 1,539 1,430 804.9 1,066 889.1 732.5 686 637.3 505.2 449.2
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 20.71% 24.62% 23.99% 24.37% 15.93% 24.61% 22.08% 19.34% 19.33% 19.51% 17.05% 16.95%
Capital Expenditure -159.7 -248.8 -212.8 -252.7 -134 -136.8 -140 -121 -161.1 -112.8 -153.6 -83.23
Free Cash Flow 792.2 1,484 1,326 1,177 670.8 929.1 749 611.5 524.9 524.5 351.6 366
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us
Want to become our sponsor?
Check out our Affiliate Program